Betting on France in Qatar: is it like playing the lottery?

A survey of November 16 and 17 gave a panel of French people very confident in their team's chances in the final, in Doha.

With 37% of respondents giving Kylian Mbappé's team the winner that day, we could estimate that the chances of these spectators being wrong are, at a minimum, 1/32 of the teams selected! We have the right to believe that we have more chances of winning the lottery knowing that we can win up to €190,000,000! Even by winning a secondary prize, the odds remain high.

Equal Opportunity Lottery

In the lottery, a cash prize is distributed to a randomly selected winner among the players. To participate in the draw, you must have purchased a numbered ticket, with a starting bet.

We must choose 5 numbers out of 50 at random, according to our preferences, our favorite strategy or the flash grid generator offered by all sites.

We will still choose the 2 additional numbers out of 11, which are called the Lucky Stars.

The huge advantage is that you can play several grids.

The Euromillions has 20 million players. Since its creation in 2004, 83 French millionaires have become so by trying their luck at the Euro-Millions. In September 2009, a group of 15 players shared out €100,000,000, that is, more than €6,600,000 ending up in the pocket of each of these associates!

In the lottery, all the numbers are a priori equal in value and the draw is carried out randomly, under the supervision of bailiffs, responsible for verifying the total probity of all the stages of the counting, the non-tampering of the machines of draw, and the perfect transparency of the procedure, until the announcement of the results. The aim is to eliminate any hazard linked to the human factor.

In football, we favor overcoming and human achievement

If, in a major football competition, we count that 32 teams have been selected, that they are not of equal value, even on paper, there is a purification from the top, as the competitions progress..

Of course, the luck factor has intervened on several occasions: for example, not being able to count on several of the best players, injured in the home stretch, starting with Benzema, is due to a combination of circumstances that we did not have not initially considered. But, behind that, we will be able to count on the cohesion of the team to face the obstacles and bet on the collective game.

Behind any "told fate", there remains a set of combinations and tactics to focus on to escape the eliminatory "bad luck".

Then, the success will largely depend on the unexpected breakthrough of a player crossing the wall of defense to create surprise.

The difference between pure chance and strategy game

Most gaming legislation makes a distinction between pure gambling and a game of strategy, where human faculties are strongly called upon in the march towards victory.

But, the paradox is that the lottery has not only been authorized, but encouraged by all the kingdoms, then the modern States, in particular at the end of the wars. The profit went to help the disabled and seriously injured. The first lottery was created in 1530 in Florence. François 1er, very admiring, imports it in France in 1539.

The attempt was republished by Mazarin in 1644, then reinforced by Louis XV and Louis XVI in 1766. The Republicans suppressed it in 1793, and Louis-Philippe tolerated it only in the name of charities.

France at the start of the game

As of November 17, for 44% of French people declaring themselves to be football fans, the French nation remains their No. 1 favorite, ahead of Neymar's Brazil (16%).

Next come Germany, Messi's Argentina, Belgium, Portugal and Spain. This enthusiasm should be weighed against objective data.

The Lloyd's method is based on the insurable value of each player on a team, based on their current earnings. The British insurer predicts England's victory over Brazil and France would be eliminated in the quarter-finals by England. Everyone sees noon at his door.

Why not win on all counts?

Great football fans can also choose to put the odds on their side and try one or more grids during their favorite matches. You have to know how to appreciate the tactical skill of the champions, and count on the wheel of luck that would tip in your favor! Who will be a millionaire, equal to the income of the top scorers on the pitch, on the Tuesdays and Fridays of the final in Qatar?