Прогноз на матч: HEET - Team K23 | Counter-Strike (CS2)
IEM Road to Rio 2022 European RMR BIn one of the first matches of the second gaming day of IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B, K23 and HEET will compete against each other. The teams lost in the first matches and are now one step closer to relegation from the tournament. The winner will advance to the middle matches of this Swiss group stage. HEET are called favorites in the upcoming match and, according to bookmakers, their chance of winning is 62%, which is equivalent to a coefficient of 1.50. The match, as in the case of the previous series of meetings, will be held in the Bo1 format. Is it correct to bet on HEET to win in this case, or can we consider some additional markets? Let's deal with this issue!
K23 play uniform
K23 are currently on the 46th line of the rating and I like this roster much less than HEET in terms of its composition. The team took part in two events in September, PARI Patriki Vibe LAN 2022 and CCT Central Europe Series 2. In the first case, they took 7-8th place, and in the second - 9-16th. In the framework of the tournament before last, the team failed to defeat RCL and Forward Gaming, which are significantly inferior to the skills of HEET. In CCT Central Europe Series 2, the roster was defeated in a match against eSuba, but subsequently defeated HONORIS, BIG Academy and FTW, and then withdrew from participation. The start of the IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B turned out to be unsuccessful and the team failed to beat the Falcons, taking them from the last 9 rounds at Dust 2.
The above map is not the best performed by K23 and why they eliminated at the stage of the Overpass map pool, which is played well, is not clear. They perform best on Inferno and Overpass, where their win rate is 77.8% and 71.4% respectively. There were played 9 and 7 times respectively, and therefore the statistics are quite acceptable. Although the team plays Dust 2 most often, as they say 15 times played there, they do not do it very well. The win rate is 66.7%. On other maps, performance also leaves much to be desired.
History of recent K23 encounters
IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B
- K23 9-16 Falcons
CCT Central Europe Series 2
- K23 2-1 HONORIS
- K23 2-0 FTW
- K23 2-1 BIG Academy
- K23 0-2 eSuba
K23 map stats
- Inferno (9 cards) - 77.8%
- Overpass (7 cards) - 71.4%
- Dust 2 (15 cards) - 66.7%
- Nuke (9 cards) - 66.7%
- Ancient (6 cards) - 66.7%
- Mirage (9 cards) - 11.1%
Game form HEET
HEET gives me more positive emotions than K23, despite the fact that the team also made an unsuccessful debut at IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B. The team is now in 25th place and is not in the most stable condition. If K23 had a series of 3 victories in a row before the start of the current championship, then HEET could not demonstrate this and have lost more matches lately than they won. For example, at ESL Challenger League Season 42, the team won two out of three cases, and at the previous ESL Pro League Season 16, they ended the match with a triumph only once out of five possible. In addition, sometimes HEET could not beat the BLUEJAYS, who are inferior to the representatives of K23 in terms of the level of play.
What could we see in their debut match at IEM Road to Rio? The team played against ENCE and for some reason banned Ancient and Overpass, where they have better results than on Nuke. And this despite the fact that they were the last to choose where it is better to play: Ancient or Nuke. Their actions defy logic, and thus it can be assumed that they can again play on the card that they do not know how to show. Maybe they had some ideas, but they didn't work.
Most often HEET play on Dust 2 and just like in the case of K23, their win rate there is 66.7%. They didn't play Ancient very often, but the 75% win rate shows a good understanding of the game in this place. Overpass, Vertigo, Nuke and Inferno play much worse, and the team doesn't play at Mirage at all.
History of recent HEET meetings
IEM Road to Rio 2022 Europe RMR B
- HEET 8-16 ENCE
ESL Challenger League Season 42 Europe
- HEET 2-1 SINNERS
- HEET 0-2 BLUEJAYS
- HEET 2-0 SINNERS
ESL Pro League Season 16
- HEET 1-2 MOUZ
- HEET 1-2 Heroic
- HEET 2-1 Astralis
- HEET 0-2 Complexity Gaming
- HEET 0-2 ENCE
HEET map statistics
- Ancient (4 cards) - 75%
- Dust 2 (12 cards) - 66.7%
- Overpass (8 cards) - 50%
- Vertigo (5 cards) - 40%
- Nuke (11 cards) - 36.4%
- Inferno (4 cards) - 0%
Conclusion
In the upcoming fight, the guys from HEET look more serious for me, however, K23 can give them a good beating. In this regard, I think that it is worth considering the option with alternative markets here. The variant with Handicap +2.5 rounds in favor of HEET seems to me the most acceptable. Since it reduces the risk of betting on the victory of the favorite of the meeting by two rounds and at the same time the coefficient is lower than n 0.12 than in the case of a triumph. A HEET win has a odds of 1.50, while a +2.5 round Handicap on them is 1.38. I also like the lineup with JACKZ and bodyy, who have a lot of experience in the professional scene that K23 doesn't have.
Final bet: Handicap +2.5 rounds in favor of HEET with odds of 1.38