Прогноз на матч: Brazen - ATK | Counter-Strike (CS2)

In one of the quarterfinal matches, ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America will play against each other. ATK rightly bears the title of the clear favorite of the meeting here, which has practically no chance of defeat. According to experts from bookmakers, the chances of their victory are equal to 87%, which is equivalent to a winning odds of 1.08. Here, betting simply on winning does not make sense, and therefore we will discuss which alternative market would be best to choose in order to achieve a good balance in profit and risk.

ATK Game Uniform

ATK is currently on the 41st place in the list of the best CS:GO rosters in the world. The team is on a completely different gaming level than what Brazen has to offer. In October, the team managed to take part in the Intel Extreme Masters Road to Rio 2022 Americas RMR, where it took 9th-11th place, and played against such teams as Complexity Gaming, ARCTIC, MIBR < 9z Team and paiN Gaming. In the fight against MIBR and ARCTIC, they prevailed with a score of 16-8 and 16-11, respectively, but they failed to defeat Complexity, 9z Team and paiN Gaming. It is even noteworthy that they lost even on one of their favorite maps, Dust 2. And on Ancient, they have no equal.

The top 2 maps, as mentioned earlier, are Ancient and Dust 2 with 100% and 70% win rates. The top 3 is closed by Mirage with an indicator of 60%. On other maps, their results are worse, and on Overpass, Inferno, and even more so Vertigo, they better not play. Nuke is in a permanent bath.

History of recent ATK meetings

IEM Road to Rio 2022 Americas RMR

• ATK 0-2 paiN Gaming
• ATK 0-2 9z Team
• ATK 16-8 MIBR
• ATK 16-11 ARCTIC
• ATK 5-16 Complexity Gaming

ATK card stats

• Ancient (5 cards) - 100%
• Dust 2 (10 cards) - 70%
• Mirage (15 cards) - 60%
• Overpass (9 cards) - 55.6%
• Inferno (8 cards) - 50%
• Vertigo (5 cards) - 40%

Brazen Game Uniform

Brazen are at 128 in the HLTV rankings and are not even in the top 100. The team is two heads below their next opponent in terms of play and the roster has almost no chance of winning this match. It is possible that esportsmen will create a sensation, but the likelihood of this is extremely low. The team last performed on the professional stage at the end of September. Then the roster took part in CCT North America Series 1, where they lost in the fight against REIGN with a score of 1-2 and took 9-16th place. In the group stage of ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America, the team won 3 out of 7 possible matches and placed 4th in Group B, which nevertheless allowed them to reach the playoffs. Now they face a difficult task - to beat one of the main favorites of the tournament. In the group stage, the team failed to beat Mythic, Evil Geniuses Black, Team oNe and MIBR, but won the match against Davenport University, Unjustified and Kari.

Unlike ATK, the map pool consists of maps, on many of which Brazen cannot show clear results. Their best place to fight is Overpass, but even there the win rate is 60%, and Mirage, which took 2nd place in their top, has a win rate of 50%. On Mirage, by the way, they perform most often.

History of recent meetings Brazen

CCT North America Series 1

• Brazen 1-2 REIGN

ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America

• Brazen 0-2 Mythic
• Brazen 0-2 Evil Geniuses Black
• Brazen 0-2 Team one
• Brazen 2-1 Kari
• Brazen 0-2 MIBR
• Brazen 2-0 Unjustified
• Brazen 2-0 Davenport University

Brazen Map Statistics

• Overpass (5 cards) - 60%
• Mirage (8 cards) - 50%
• Inferno (5 cards) - 40%
• Dust 2 (4 cards) - 25%
• Nuke (7 cards) - 14.3%
• Ancient (2 cards) - 0%

Conclusion

On all counts, we can see that Brazen is not an opponent to ATK players: ranking position, recent performances, the level of teams Brazen played against, the map pool, the level of Brazen roster members, and so on. In this regard, it is worth considering additional markets in the form of Total Under 2.5 cards, Handicap or Correct Score. I am sure that in the upcoming match ATK will close the match with a score of 2-0 and all of the above alternative markets fit this result. Nevertheless, if in the case of Total less than 2.5 cards the coefficient is 1.33, then for the Correct score 2-0 in favor of ATK the coefficient is 1.39, which is also not bad. This is what I propose to use. This combination of low risk and high profitability is the best betting option in this case.

Final bet: Exact score 2-0 in favor of ATK with odds of 1.39