Прогноз на матч: Evil Geniuses Black - Team One | Counter-Strike (CS2)

In the second round of the lower bracket of ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America Evil Geniuses Black and LOS + oNe will fight each other for the right to further participate in the championship with a prize pool of $50,000. For one of the participants of this meeting, this fight will be the last and the teams have no right to make a mistake. This is quite suitable for the concept of “great motivation”, which will be present among the meeting participants. According to experts from bookmakers, the chances of winning LOS + oNe are 69%, which translates into a coefficient on their victory of 1.35. Whether the ratio of the probability of winning was correctly distributed or not, we will find out in the course of the analysis. We will also understand how best to place a bet here.

Evil Geniuses Black Game Uniform

Evil Geniuses Black are on the 66th place in the world rating from HLTV. The team showed average results throughout the entire participation in the ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America. In the group stage, EG Black performed even more or less and took 3rd place there with a 5-2 indicator, but in the playoffs things went worse for them. In Group B, they managed to beat every opponent except for MIBR and LOS + oNe. The defeat against the latter is worth noting in a special way, since it is against them that the players from Evil Geniuses Black will now have to fight. In the confrontation with LOS + oNe, the team could not take a single card then, which indicates a weak performance specifically against this opponent. The same can easily be repeated in the upcoming match.

But what of the positive aspects can be found in EG Black is the mappool. The team has at least one map where it consistently shows good results. It's about Inferno. There, the team performs in 72.7% of cases with success, and with 11 maps played, this result can be considered very good. The top 2 with a good ratio of cards played to wins can be considered Mirage. There Evil Geniuses Black performed 8 times and won in 62.5% of cases. On the rest of the maps, the results leave the best, but even on Mirage, the chances of winning are relatively small, especially in the case of the LOS + oNe team. After reaching the playoffs, EG Black won in the first round against Vendetta, but in reaching the final of the upper bracket they could not show anything in the confrontation with MIBR and fell to the lower bracket.

History of last meetings Evil Geniuses Black

ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America

• Evil Geniuses Black 0-2 MIBR
• Evil Geniuses Black 2-0 Vendetta
• Evil Geniuses Black 2-1 Kari
• Evil Geniuses Black 2-0 Brazen
• Evil Geniuses Black 2-0 Mythic

Evil Geniuses Black Card Statistics

• Inferno (11 cards) - 72.7%
• Vertigo (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Mirage (8 cards) - 62.5%
• Nuke (5 cards) - 60%
• Overpass (7 cards) - 57.1%
• Dust 2 (5 cards) - 20%

Game form LOS + oNe

LOS + oNe, aka TeamOne, are now in 32nd place in the world ranking of CS:GO teams from HLTV. I like the LOS + oNe roster more than the Evil Geniuses Black roster, both in terms of individual players and in terms of what the team can show in this confrontation. I personally have been following Maluk3 and malbsMd for a long time and I know that this duo can show good results and pull the team up, which is also evident from their personal HLTV rating. LOS + oNe, like Evil Geniuses Black, got into Group B in the early stages, but their result was even better than that shown by EG Black. The team, with the exception of MIBR, was able to beat all opponents, including those same Evil Geniuses Black. In the fight against the latter, they did not lose a single card, which deserves special mention in the light of events. Then they, by the way, beat their opponents on Nuke and Mirage. Having entered the playoffs, LOS + oNe immediately lost in the fight against Nouns Esports, without taking a single map from them, and in the lower bracket the team was able to rehabilitate itself in the match against Brazen, losing 1 map to the latter. Consequently, LOS + oNe has problems with the game form.

Nevertheless, the Brazilians are doing quite well with the map pool. In the arsenal of LOS + oNe maps, there are four places at once where the team can show excellent results. We are talking about Overpass, Nuke, Ancient and Mirage. On the first one, they win 90% of the time, which is a lot, and even if EG Black bans this card, LOS + oNe will be able to show an excellent performance in the fight on Nuke, Ancient and Mirage. It is surprising that such a high LOS + oNe can be maintained despite the fact that it has been played so many times. LOS + oNe performed 8-15 times on the above maps.

History of recent meetings LOS + oNe

ESL Challenger League Season 42 North America

• LOS + oNe 2-1 Brazen
• LOS + oNe 0-2 Nouns
• LOS + oNe 2-0 Brazen
• LOS + oNe 2-0 Unjustified
• LOS + oNe 2-0 Evil Geniuses Black

Map stats LOS + oNe

• Overpass (10 cards) - 90%
• Nuke (12 cards) - 75%
• Ancient (8 cards) - 75%
• Mirage (15 cards) - 73.3%
• Inferno (13 cards) - 61.5%
• Dust 2 (12 cards) - 58.3%

Conclusion

As we can see, LOS + oNe win on at least two factors. Firstly, their difference in the world ranking with Evil Geniuses Black is too big. Secondly, the team has a very strong map pool and they have 4 maps where the team can perform well. The number of cards played there only strengthens the confidence in the above. For this reason, I believe that there is a high probability of ending the confrontation with a score of 2-0 in favor of LOS + oNe. If EG Black manages to pick Inferno, then the meeting may end with a score of 2-1 in favor of LOS + oNe. In any case, I am sure that the Brazilians will win, but the exact score depends on the cards on which the meeting participants will perform.

Outcome

• Inferno will be in the map pool — Total over 2.5 cards with odds of 2.05
• Inferno will not be in the map pool - Handicap -1.5 cards in favor of LOS + oNe with a coefficient of 2.11