Прогноз на матч: NaVi Junior - fnatic Rising | Counter-Strike (CS2)

In the third confrontation of today's gaming day of WePlay Academy League Season 6, teams such as NAVI Junior and Fnatic Rising will compete against each other. The teams are in different weight categories, which led to a clear advantage from Fnatic Rising in terms of chances of winning and odds in the match. The betting experts firmly believe that Fnatic Rising has a 72% chance of winning, which translates into a win odds of 1.30. Is it worth it to bet on Fnatic Rising to win here, or maybe NAVI Junior can also win? Or is it better to look at alternative markets? Let's analyze and get an answer to this question!

NAVI Junior uniform

Now Natus Vincere Junior are on the 121st place in the world ranking from HLTV. The team shows itself quite well in this event and now leads Group A with 5-1 statistics. The team won against the Apeks Rebels, defeated the Flames Ascent twice and finished the matches against MOUZ NXT with a victory for themselves twice. The only confrontation where Dem0N and the company lost was the duel with Fnatic Rising. In the fight against the latter, the team took 12 rounds from the opponents on the Vertigo map, where it has a win rate of 33.3%, which, in fact, is not surprising. The rest of the “Born to Win Juniors” opponents fought on Mirage, Dust 2 and Ancient. We can conclude that if the team does not play on these maps, then the team may be defeated. Inferno has recently become an exception to this rule, where NAVI Junior defeated Apeks Rebels.

The top three maps in the NAVI Junior map pool, as you can guess from the above, are Mirage, Dust 2 and Ancient. The team performs there with success in 85.7%, 80% and 66.7% of cases, but the level of the teams against which NAVI Junior played there leaves much to be desired. Fnatic Rising showed that the success of Natus Vincere Junior members depends more on the level of the opponent than on the map they play.

History of recent meetings NAVI Junior

WePlay Academy League Season 6

• NAVI Junior 16-2 MOUZ NXT
• NAVI Junior 12-16 Fnatic Rising
• NAVI Junior 16-11 MOUZ NXT
• NAVI Junior 16-12 Flames Ascent
• NAVI Junior 16-12 Apeks Rebels
• NAVI Junior 16-8 Flames Ascent

NAVI Junior map statistics

• Mirage (7 cards) - 85.7%
• Dust 2 (5 cards) - 80%
• Ancient (3 cards) - 66.7%
• Vertigo (6 cards) - 33.3%
• Inferno (5 cards) - 20%
• Overpass (1 card) - 0%

Fnatic Rising Game Uniform

Fnatic Rising were ranked 56th by HLTV in their list of the best CS:GO teams in the world. Although the team is in the 3rd place in its group, it is impossible to underestimate the skills of the team and Fnatic Rising can still be called one of the favorites of Group A. Roster beat OG Academy, Apeks Rebels, Flames Ascent and NAVI Junior, but in the confrontation with MOUZ NXT and OG Academy (2 times), although they failed to achieve victory, the team still showed due perseverance and took 13 and 14 rounds from their rivals, respectively. It would not be superfluous to note that the meetings were held on Overpass and Inferno, where Fnatic Rising feel comfortable. The level of these opponents, by the way, is approximately the same as in Natus Vincere Junior.

In terms of the map pool, Fnatic Rising is doing great. The team shows excellent results on four maps at once. They perform on Mirage, Overpass, Inferno and Vertigo with 83.%, 75%, 71.4% and 70.6% success rates. This is especially respectful given that 21 and 17 maps were played on Inferno and Vertigo. On Ancient and Nuke, it is better not to spawn them, as the win rate there is 45.5% and 25% respectively.

History of recent Fnatic Rising meetings

WePlay Academy League Season 6

• Fnatic Rising 13-16 MOUZ NXT
• Fnatic Rising 16-12 NAVI Junior
  
• Fnatic Rising 16-6 Flames Ascent
  
• Fnatic Rising 16-10 Apeks Rebels
  
• Fnatic Rising 16-10 OG Academy
  

Fnatic Rising Map Statistics

• Mirage (6 cards) - 83.3%
• Overpass (8 cards) - 75%
• Inferno (21 cards) - 71.4%
• Vertigo (17 cards) - 70.6%
• Ancient (11 cards) - 45.5%
• Nuke (8 cards) - 25%

Conclusion

In general, for several factors, we can see that NAVI Junior is not such an obvious outsider of this match, as evidenced by their game form and position in the standings. Nevertheless, there is one thing - NAVI Junior has historically difficult confrontations with Fnatic Rising. The latter beat Natus Vincere Junior in the last three matches and did not give them a chance to win. In addition, NAVI Junior has a weaker map pool, which means that their chances of winning this confrontation are not very high. As a result, I think that it would be good to bet on the Handicap -3.5 rounds in favor of Fnatic Rising. The coefficient for this market is equal to 1.68.

Final bet: Handicap -3.5 rounds in favor of Fnatic Rising at odds of 1.68