Astralis and Vitality will play in the fourth round of the PGL Major Stockholm 2021 Legends Stage. It is sad to realize that one of these teams will leave the championship. At the same time, according to the game, none of the teams deserves to be in the playoffs (forgive me here). However, I think that in a face-to-face battle, the French will be stronger.
Astralis shape
The eighth team in the world rankings continues the freefall of PGL Major Stockholm 2021, which began with a meeting against NIP. Now the Danes have lost almost a salad to their compatriots from Heroic. And I don't know how the team left in the Ancient pool. Now Astralis is really at risk of leaving the tournament, having received the third steering wheel on its account. And I really don't believe the team will come back like the Challengers stage.
Recent Astralis results:
- Victory over paiN with a score of 2: 0.
- Victory over Spirit with a score of 2: 0.
- Victory over FURIA with a score of 16:10.
- Defeat to NIP with a score of 1:16.
- Defeat against Heroic with a score of 7:16.
Best Astralis Cards:
- Nuke - 71% wins.
- Inferno - 67% wins.
- Dust 2 - 50% wins.
At the same time, the Danes still do not play on the Mirage map. But at the same time, the team has difficulties with the Ancient and Vertigo cards.
Vitality Form
The third team of the world rankings got off to a terrible start in PGL Major Stockholm 2021, losing to Virtus.pro and Heroic on the very first game day. But it is worth giving credit, because the matches were "plus or minus" tight, and the rivals were tough. However, the French went even further, miraculously losing Inferno against EG. Well at least they returned, albeit they made a lot of fun.
Recent Vitality results:
- Defeat to NIP with a score of 1: 2.
- Victory over Astralis with a score of 2: 0.
- Defeat against Virtus.pro with a score of 14:16.
- Defeat against Heroic with a score of 12:16.
- Victory over Evil Geniuses with a score of 2: 1.
Best Vitality Cards:
- Vertigo - 78% wins.
- Mirage - 75% wins.
- Nuke - 75% wins.
- Inferno - 64% wins.
- Overpass - 63% wins.
- Dust 2 - 60% wins.
Let me just remind you that the French do not play on the Ancient card. At the same time, it seems to me that Vitality has a damp Dust 2 map so far.
Astralis - Vitality meeting statistics
During the current season, the teams held five meetings:
- Astralis win at BLAST Premier Global Final 2020 with a score of 2: 1.
- Vitality's victory in ESL Pro League Season 14 with a score of 2: 0.
- Vitality's victory in BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2021 with a score of 2: 0.
- Vitality's victory at BLAST Premier Fall Groups 2021 with a score of 2: 1.
- Vitality's 2: 0 victory at IEM Fall 2021 Europe.
The overwhelming advantage of the French.
Prediction for the match Astralis - Vitality
As the statistics show (and four out of five matches were played after an international pause), the Danes are doing very badly in the games against Vitality. And even now Astralis is in some kind of pit, not knowing whether to complain or cry. Therefore, here I propose to bet on the victory of the Vitality team with a handicap in rounds (-2.5).