Прогноз на матч: Heroic - NaVi | Counter-Strike (CS2)

Heroic and NAVI will meet in the semi-finals of IEM Katowice 2023. Perhaps, there is a favorite in this fight, since Born to Win have some advantages, which we will talk about a little further.

It is clear that the Danish team surprised at the group stage, where not only did not lose, but also directly made it to the semi-finals. However, I am not sure that Heroic will be able to keep a high bar at a distance, especially since the team has long-standing problems in games against NAVI.

As for the Ukrainian team, it has already made its debut in the playoffs of the championship, where it managed to outplay Outsiders on two of the opponent's strongest maps - Inferno and Overpass. And, given Heroic's problems at the first of them, NAVI clearly has plans for the next opponent.

In general, if you don’t beat around the bush, in this series I would take a closer look at the victory of the Ukrainian team. It is clear that there is a subjective assessment here, but in my opinion Heroic is still far from the optimal form, and the statistics do not speak in favor of the guys from Denmark.

Form Heroic

The second team in the world ranking played very poorly at BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2023, where they suffered two defeats from Evil Geniuses and Vitality at the group stage. And further in the Play-In, the Danish team got a very controversial victory over BIG, again not showing much zeal.

As for the performances at the group stage of IEM Katowice 2023, here Heroic started with two ordinary victories over Complexity Gaming and OG, passing the map to the North Americans along the way.

However, in the final of their group, the wards of Xizt unexpectedly destroyed Vitality, showing a very strong game, which was not from the Danes for a long time. However, I would not praise Heroic as the distance is not in their favor.

Heroic's latest results:

• Defeat from Vitality with a score of 1:2.
• Victory over BIG with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over Complexity Gaming with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over OG with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over Vitality with a score of 2:0.

Best Heroic Maps:

• Overpass - 78% of wins.
• Mirage - 75% of wins.
• Vertigo - 71% of wins.
• Ancient - 50% win rate.

It is worth recalling that the Danish team is still refusing the Anubis card.

Form NAVI

The sixth team of the world ranking also played ambiguously at the January BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2023, having suffered two devastating defeats from G2 in the group. And at the end of the championship, the Ukrainian team got a very difficult victory over Complexity Gaming, although who would have thought.

As for the performances at the group stage of IEM Katowice 2023, here NAVI started with two victories over Cloud9 and Team Liquid, but again, in the group's grand final, they didn't come up with anything against G2.

However, in the quarterfinals, the guys got a very important victory over the Outsiders. At the same time, it was noticeable that the team is in a good individual shape, obviously having trained.

Latest NAVI results:

• Victory over Complexity Gaming with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over Cloud9 with a score of 2:0.
• The victory over Team Liquid with a score of 2:0.
• Lost to G2 with a score of 0:2.
• The victory over the Outsiders with a score of 2:0.

The best NAVI maps:

• Overpass - 67% of wins.
• Ancient - 50% win rate.

In turn, the Ukrainian team still does not play on the Vertigo map.

Heroic vs NAVI match statistics

The teams played five games last season:

• NAVI's victory in the ESL Pro League Season 15 with a score of 2:0.
• Heroic's victory at PGL Major Antwerp 2022 Europe RMR A with a score of 2:1.
• NAVI's victory at PGL Major Antwerp 2022 with a score of 2:1.
• NAVI's victory in the ESL Pro League Season 16 with a score of 2:1.
• NAVI's victory at BLAST Premier World Final 2022 with a score of 2:1.

Interestingly, the Inferno map was played in the last four matches.

Prediction for the match Heroic — NAVI

First of all, NAVI played the day before, which gives the team a significant advantage in terms of the feel of the arena. Secondly, the statistics do not speak in favor of Heroic, and even in the disastrous ending of the last season, Born to Win closed the Danes who were at their peak.

Now we are dealing with Inferno, where NAVI played out a lot, while Heroic has some problems. Otherwise, it is interesting to watch Mirage and Overpass, but there Born to Win usually closed the Danish team.

In general, everything is in favor of the Ukrainian team. Therefore, in this case, I would recommend betting on the victory of the NAVI team.