Just Error is on the decline, like Alliance, it will be very difficult to predict this match. In replays (there was a best of 1 format), 404 were able to outplay the Alliance, but there the Europeans drafted complete nonsense, starting with Ember Spirit on the four.
Yesterday there was news that Roman Resolut1on Fominok will play with his old Virtus.pro teammates, as Sumail SumaiL Hassan will miss the temporarily upcoming matches. The reasons for this decision have not yet been published. Conventionally, on paper, Resolut1on, RAMZEs and No[O] ne are an excellent combination of core players, as they can swap along the lines as they want, but managed to fail the first match.
Drafts:
Alliance:
- Most played with Lina, Undying, Phantom Assasin and IO
- High win rate in matches with Phantom Assasin, Lina and Undying
- 100% winrate with Magnus, Dark Willow and Anti-Mage (less than 5 games played)
- Easy rate Phantom Assasin/Faceless Void for carry and Enchantress/Disraptor for five. Recently showed strategy with Dragon Knight + Grimstroke.
- Hard: Slardar/Viper/Beastmaster for s4 and completely different heroes for Handsken. If you see Ember Spirit on a four, you can safely bet against Alliance.
- In the mid lane, Limmp plays absolutely everything
- Top bans against Alliance: Viper (7 bans), Enchantress/Undying (3 bans each)
- Alliance is unpleasant to play against IO, Slardar, Magnus and Lina
Just Error:
- Most played with Doom, Earth Spirit, Wintern Wyvern and Specter
- High win rate in matches with Doom, Wintern Wyvern. By the way, Earth Spirit has a 28% win rate over 7 games. If you see Earth Spirit from Just Error, you can safely bet against them.
- 100% winrate on games with Anti-Mage, Juggernaut and Medusa (less than 5 games played)
- In light from RAMZEs, you should be wary of carry: Specter, Anti-Mage, Medusa, and Solo often plays Ancient Apparation and Wintern Wyvern
- In difficult now Resolut1on, he always had a huge pool of heroes, but against Live to Win he was rewarded by Bloodseeker and Enigma, they lost those matches. On a four, Zayac can only play Doom so far, but his pool has Earth Spirit, Shadow Demon and Shadow Shaman
- No[O] ne returned to the center and will definitely ask for heroes from the offlane: like Viper, Death Prophet, Doom and, of course, Nature's Prophet.
- Top bans against Just Error: Undying and Doom (6 bans each)
- Just Error is frustrating to play against Faceless Void, Mars and IO.
Prediction for the match Just Error vs Alliance:
It is very difficult to predict this fight, it is obvious that both teams are playing very badly now. In the place of Just Error, I would ban IO and Specter and try to pick Undying if the first pick. If not, then the standard two bans against Alliance: IO and Slardar.
Alliance will obviously ban the standard two best Just Error heroes: Doom/Undying, and Alliances should somehow get IO, Enchantress or Faceless Void. It is very difficult, the drafts will be interesting and a lot will be decided already at the drafting stage. Alliance should not be given to your opponent Morphling, Medusa, Anti-Mage, and Just Error should be careful with IO, Specter and Slardar.
The lineups are the same on an individual basis at the moment, the pool of heroes overlaps at some points. The only important thing is that Limmp has been playing in the mid for a long time, and No[O] ne was forced to return there from the offlane. It can play a cruel joke with 404. The match promises to be very interesting, don't miss it. As best of 3, I will go with Alliance.
Prediction: Alliance will win the match with Just Error (odds - 1.616), with a risk of 2: 0 in favor of Alliance (odds - 2.94)
