
Vici Gaming1.827.03.21 22:00Bo21:1
Nigma Galaxy 1.8
Прогноз на матч: Vici Gaming - Nigma Galaxy | Dota 2
Nigma and ViCi Gaming will play in the third round of the playoffs. China against Europe will again converge in confrontation, and we will try to predict who will emerge from it as the winner.
ViCi Form
As always, we start with the form of potential favorites of the meeting - Vici Gaming. We begin to figure out whether the bookmaker deservedly value the Tigers above Nigma.
Looking ahead, I want to say yes, deservedly. Several things bear witness to this.
Firstly, Vici showed more confident play in the regular season of the Chinese DPC 2021 region. Although they finished in 3rd place, they did it without problems with statistics 5-2, bypassing potential replay and reducing the risk of missing a Major to a minimum.
Secondly, apparently Vici will play in the Wild Card with their full roster, which cannot be said about Nigma. However, the idyll is undermined by the latest results of the Chinese five.
Results of last 5 matches Vici Gaming
- Defeat Elephant 2-0
- Vici 2-1 win
- Defeat from PSG.LGD with a score of 1-2
- Defeat from Team Aster with a score of 1-2
- Lost to Aster.Aries with a score of 0-2
As we can see, the last few meetings were clearly not according to Vici's plans. However, I would attribute this to a frivolous attitude towards the FMWH Dota2 Championship, rather than a drawdown in form.
Nigma shape
Vici will be confronted by the great and terrible Nigma. Or not so great and, in general, far from terrible?
Like most teams, Nigma is not doing well this season. This can be seen in the performance in the DPC 2021 regular season from Europe, where Nigma finished in 3rd place.
They borrowed something, but Nigma's statistics didn't look very good. Nigma won 4 out of 7 matches, and on maps the ratio is 10 to 8, which is not very encouraging.
However, this is evidenced by the performance in recent matches.
Results of last 5 matches Nigma
- Lose at Secret 0-2
- Defeat from ViKin.gg with a score of 1-2
- Lost to OG with a score of 1-2
- Beat Tundra Esports 2-0
- Defeat High Coast Esports 2-0
As we can see, Nigma has big problems with the giants, which also show up in matches with teams like ViKin.gg. I am glad that so far Nigma is coping with teams of a lower rank, but can you call Vici as such?
Personal meeting history
De facto, the clubs used to meet, but then the Nigma five represented Team Liquid, and Eurus played for Vici. In an updated format for some and a new composition for others, the teams have not yet played.
The match within the Wild Card of the Singapore Major will be the first face-to-face meeting for the clubs.
Match outcome
Anyway, I would still believe in Nigma if they played with the full lineup. With MinD_ContR_L Nigma would have taken at least one card, but without it, with absolutely incomprehensible confusion with positions, I can't believe in Nigma.
Outcome: Vici's victory.
Let's play on the surprise effect in this match. Firstly, I already wrote that Vici gaming are outsiders even among European teams, and there is little that shines for them in this Major. Secondly, there was information that PMN will play instead of mindcontrol. However, something happened that could change the balance of power. The fact is that the Navi refused to participate in the Major for a number of reasons. but what does Navi have to do with it? And despite the fact that even when two players fell ill, it was planned to replace them with Ramses and a magician. However, they decided not to go all the same, but they decided it when Ramsess was already on the plane and flew to Singapore, and was basically not aware of all this. Again, what difference did that make? And now we remember what position fell off nigma and what position did Ramses play in EG for a whole year? Now does it all fit together? Moreover, Roman is officially allowed to play for any team, the main thing is that valve is approved, but I think this is not a problem.
The outcome of the meeting
So, if you sum up the results, I think nigma will be able to take the card for sure, and taking into account the latest events, you can risk a full victory, because against vici the ramzik can normally play on the top three, even though he does not hold a candle to mind control. And so far, at this point in time, according to the forecasts of the leading bookmakers, the favorite of the match is the Vici Gaming team with an average odds of 2.7. Accordingly, bookmakers see Nigma as an outsider of the match with odds of about 4.3 to win. Then you can risk a complete victory from Nigma before the odds sink.
Nigma Victory, Nigma Handicap +1.5
Nigma will play with Vici Gaming in the WildCard stage for ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021. Nygma play very badly without MinD_ConTroL.
Nigma - at the time of writing the forecast, they have 2 defeats from PSG.LGD and Nigma and they lost on the first map from ASM.GMB, rmN played three times, then he was transplanted to five, Kuroky tried to play a difficult, and then completely played in the mid at Alchemist. They don't believe so much in w33, or the player himself no longer feels good in the center. For 5 cards, he only once stood in the mid lane against PSG.LGD, Nigma lost that game. Such a persistent feeling that Nigma will change w33 after the championship.
Team Drafts
- Carry: Weaver, Razor, Alchemist, Monkey King, top five: Keeper of the Light, IO
- Hard on three: Dragon Knight, Grimstroke, Tidehunter, Timbersaw, on four: Nyx Assasin, Keeper of the Light, Lion, Disraptor
- Mid: Ember Spirit, Dragon Knight, Void Spirit
- Nigma bans: Weaver, Enigma, Tusk, Viper
- Ban against Nigma: IO, Phoenix, Death Prophet
Vici Gaming - started with two victories against T1 and ASM.GMB, these teams were the main outsiders in this group and therefore success with them can hardly be regarded as a significant achievement. Moreover, Vici barely beat Gambit, the map lasted about an hour. Perhaps it was due to long pauses and technical problems. While they are unstable and do not look like the top 1 of this Major, we will look tomorrow, the opponents are many times stronger.
Forecast for the match Vici Gaming vs Nigma in WildCard for ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021
After the first Nigma map against ASM.GMB, there was a feeling that the team had some disagreements and a slight tilt. This can be seen in Alchemist in mid from KuroKy, 1 game from w33 in mid in the last 3 matches, for rmN in difficult on Grimstroke. In general, Nigma has practically no chances. Bookmakers give odds of 2.025 on Vici, the draw is estimated at 2.4, on Nigma - 7.6.
Prediction: Vici Gaming will easily beat Nigma in WildCard to ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 - coefficient 2.025
Team Nigma will not go anywhere and this is one hundred percent information, we can clearly see how they lack MinD_ContRoL in the game. The guys tried their best today, they put Kyroky in mid instead of w33, put Kyroky on the hard lane and tested their coach on the off lane who had played at this level for a long time. It is a pity that due to the replacement, such a team suffers in terms of performance on the map, but nothing can be done about it, such are the realities. In this match against Vici Gaming they will lose without much chance, and this is a fact.
Vici Gaming showed a good level of play today, played against Gambit in character and in this match I expect them to win with a score of 2-0. Vici Gaming are always in good shape due to the strong Chinese region, they play Chinese LANs at such a difficult time, take part in various tournaments and due to all this they look much more confident than their today's rival.
I recommend betting on Vici Gaming.
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