Прогноз на матч: Evil Geniuses - Team Aster | Dota 2

The degree of tension at Lima Major 2023 continues to grow restlessly. Day 4 of the playoffs begins at the first major of the season.

There are 8 teams left in pursuit of the championship title. After today's games, there will be only 6 of them.

Evil Geniuses and Team Aster will open the 4th day of games in the playoffs of Lima Major 2023. A very entertaining match to start a short day.

Evil Geniuses made it here after finishing 2nd in the South American Regional League. From the group stage they went to the top of the playoffs, where they fell to the lower bracket in the first round.

Team Aster, like EG, took second place at home in China. At Lima Major 2023, they went to the top of the bracket, from where, by analogy with EG, they fell into the losers bracket.

Let's figure out which team will continue to defend the honor of their region at Lima Major 2023. China or South America?

Evil Geniuses form

Let's start the analysis of the match with an analysis of the game form of Evil Geniuses. In this match, they are predicted to be the favorite.

Bookmaker without much confidence, but call EG the first number of this match. The chance for the “evil geniuses” to win is estimated at a coefficient of around 1.7.

It is easy to believe in the advantage of Evil Geniuses in this confrontation. Several factors speak in favor of the Peruvian five, but the most significant of them is the influence of the local audience on the atmosphere within the squad.

Evil Geniuses line-up

In the 2023 season, EG will clearly aim for the championship in the regional league and high places in international events. With a roster like the current one, it won't be that difficult to achieve such success.

Evil Geniuses players

• Pakazs
• Chris Luck
• Wisper
• Matthew
• pandaboo

Before the start of Lima Major 2023, and even during the tournament itself, Evil Geniuses looked scattered. Only after falling into the lower grid did something like “enlightenment” begin. And Pakazs began to show a clear game, and other performers turned on.

Evil Geniuses Performance

EG played the regular season with a 6-1 record. The only defeat happened in the 3rd week match against beastcoast.

In the first match, Evil Geniuses played against PSG.LGD. In that duel, EG confidently won the first game, and then decided to take Venomancer, which led to a defeat.

Then there was a fight with Talon, where EG, having won a difficult first map, lost on the second one without a fight. As a result 1-1

In the third series we played with Team Spirit. The Dragons managed to outbid EG, preventing the strategy from working through Timbersaw, and then beat their favorite Chaos: 2-0 in favor of EG.

After not the most successful matches, they took over their heads and beat Tundra. However, there was a completely unnecessary draw in the match with EHOME.

Towards the end of the group stage, they tied with Execration and beat GG and TSM, which eventually allowed them to reach the playoffs from the third place in the group. And there something terrible happened.

In the first playoff match against Entity EG, they did not show any games at all. Despite the rather long matches of 40+ minutes, EG failed to bring fresh ideas to the match, and Entity, thanks to unpopular decisions like Pugna in the center or Silencer in 3 positions, outplayed Evil Geniuses in all respects.

The next opponent of Evil Geniuses was Beastcoast. The Peruvian derby ended with the total defeat of the first team in South America: beastcoast were completely eliminated from the tournament without earning any DPC points or money.

Heroes Evil Geniuses

EG has according to the canons of patch 7.32. However, there are some idiosyncratic choices. However, so far only the standard has worked.

The most picked character is Rubick. Appeared 11 times and won 9 matches.

Monkey King (8 games, 87% wins), Mars (8 matches, 62% wins), Timbersaw (7 games, 100% wins), Silencer (7 matches, 100% wins) are popular.

In the match against bc, the duo of Riki + DP was picked twice. It seems that these heroes should be feared in future matches (or a match) by opponents.

Team Aster Uniform

We continue the review of the match with a review of Team Aster's uniform. In this match, they are predicted the status of catching up.

This status is easy to believe. Bookmakers, for example, do just that, evaluating the chance of Team Aster to win with odds around 2.

The gap between the teams on paper is minimal. In the game, as for me, this state of affairs will be visualized.

Team Aster roster

In the new season, Aster is showing promise again and now they have not ghostly chances to catch on to the unconditional TOP-1 of China. This prospect sparkled with new colors after the departure of PSG.LGD from Lima Major 2023.

Team Aster players

• Monet
• xwy
• xxs
• BoBoKa
• Siamese.C

In general, in the 2023 season, Aster look as similar as possible to EG. The team has very similar problems: it seems to be a top roster, but the game has disappeared somewhere. It became noticeable as part of Lima Major 2023, but it seems like work on the bugs began and progress began.

Team Aster Performance

The team took TOP-2 in the home DPC 2023: China - Upper Division. As a result, I had to give way to PSG.LGD, first losing in the regular season, and then in tiebreaks.

In the first two days, the team played 3 matches: against beastcoast, Shopify Rebellion and BB Team. All three teams are direct competitors to Aster, and all 3 matches ended in a draw for China's TOP-2.

On the third day of games, Aster played a draw with Entity, and after that they lost to HellRaisers with a score of 0-2. Then there were two clean wins: against Knights and Geek Slate, and then the expected loss from Liquid on two maps, but not without a fight.

In the first round of the playoffs, Aster flew off toothlessly from Entity to play right through in the match against Tundra Esports. The current world champions failed to beat the seemingly “dead” Aster, while China's TOP-2 continue to play in Lima.

Heroes Team Aster

At Lima Major 2023, Team Aster uses very unique heroes. The most popular character in their picks is Phoenix (9 matches, 77% of wins).

Meta Rubick plays poorly: 8 fights, 37% win rate. Tiny feels much better (6 matches, 66% of wins).

Enchantress has a 100% win rate over 5 games, Troll Warlord has an 80% win rate, and Beastmaster has a 60% win rate. Among the characters with 5 games, Magnus and Tusk fared the worst with 40% win rates in all games.

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams did not play each other in head-to-head confrontations. The teams will play the first such meeting in this match.

The outcome of the fight

Very mixed feelings from this match. Perhaps the strongest of all is the feeling of deja vu.

It's like I've seen it before. I saw how Aster, through the lower grid, reach high places. I saw how the Peruvians burn out at a short distance.

In general, there is an opinion that Aster will be stronger in this match. As for me, although Tundra was “not here”, but compared to the level of performance of beastcoast, they were on horseback. The only factor that speaks in favor of EG is the local audience, but this is not a key component for winning.

Outcome: victory for Team Aster.