Прогноз на матч: Team Spirit - Shopify Rebellion | Dota 2

We continue our review of the main stage of Lima Major 2023 with the first round of the playoffs of the Peruvian Major. Next in line is the confrontation between Team Spirit and Shopify Rebellion.

The duel promises to be interesting for several reasons. Firstly, both teams are playing at such a big event after a radical change in the compositions, and secondly, both clubs have become the best representatives of their regions in the group stage.

Team Spirit, who took 2nd place in the regular season, made it to the upper bracket of the playoffs, taking second place in group A. The team won 11 maps out of 16 played.

Shopify Rebellion ended the season in a similar spot on the North American leaderboard. At Lima Major 2023, the team took 3rd place in group B with 10 won maps and 6 lost.

Let's figure out which of the first representatives of their regions will continue their way to the championship at the top of the standings, and who will play against PSG.LGD in the next round.

Team Spirit Uniform

Let's start the review with an analysis of Team Spirit's game form. "Dragons" will play the first number, as evidenced by the coefficients from the bookmakers.

Team Spirit's chance of winning is estimated by odds around 1.5. Bookmakers believe in the success of Team Spirit, despite all the “buts”.

According to the group stage of Lima Major 2023, there really is a feeling that Team Spirit found their game and began to get in shape to take heights in the future. It is in the future, since there are doubts about the success of the “dragons” at this major.

Team Spirit roster

After the transfer period, Team Spirit changed the midlaner. As it turned out, the replacement was justified, because the former Spirit member, TORONTOTOKYO, had already left the tournament as part of the BB Team.

Team Spirit Players

• Yatoro
• Larl
• collapse
• Mira
• Miposhka

The arrival of Larl gave Spirit variability and allowed the cores in the face of Yatoro and Collapse to open up, which was not the case in Spirit's last matches with TT in the roster. However, Spirit's key problems have not gone away: for example, the team loses in the late game, leaving no money for a buyback. Sounds like a child's mistake, but it happens on a regular basis.

Team Spirit Performance

Team Spirit made it to Lima Major 2023 taking second place in DPC 2023: EEU - Upper Division. In the home league, the team won 6 matches, losing only 1.

Spirit played at third party tournaments like BB Xmas Show and BB Universe - Comics Zone. Both of Spirit's commercial championships finished in second place.

In the group stage of Lima Major 2023, the Dragons lost only 1 series. Gaimin Gladiators lost on the first day of games.

In 8 matches, they drew three times: with PSG.LGD, Talon and EHOME. Matches against Execration, TSM, EG and Tundra ended in favor of Spirit.

Heroes Team Spirit

Spirit's approach to drafting hasn't changed much since the end of DPC 2023: WEU - Upper Division. The Dragons are still happy to use Tusk (9 matches, 77% wins), Snapfire (9 matches, 77% wins), Rubick (8 games, 75% wins).

Mirana is chosen a little less often (6 matches, 50% of wins). Even rarer are Natures Prophet, Sniper (6 games each, 60% win rate) and Tiny (6 matches, 40% win rate).

Shopify Rebellion Form

As an outsider, Shopify Rebellion will fit into this match. There is a gap between teams.

The backlog of the team, which became the first number of the home region during the tournament, is small. The bookmaker's chance of winning is estimated by odds around 2.3.

In general, it is difficult to disagree with such an assessment of bookmakers, however, I would give a little less for SR. These are still skillful performers who are able to perform on the world's best stages despite past failures, of which SR has had plenty.

Shopify Rebellion Composition

There were enough of them even when they were under the Evil Geniuses tag. They remain now, in an updated line-up, but with the backbone and style of play identical to the times of EG.

Shopify Rebellion Players

• Arteezy
• Abed
• SabeRLight-
• Cr1t-
• Fly

SabeRLight, who joined the roster last fall, fits perfectly into the team structure. This is a player with character and an ardent disposition, like the rest of the four Shopify Rebellion. Often it interferes, but judging by the effectiveness, there are more pluses than minuses.

Shopify Rebellion Performance

SR finished the season in 2nd place in the home league. The team lost the only match, losing to a direct competitor from TSM.

Played on BTS Pro Series. As part of the local tournament, Shopify Rebellion demonstrated class. Without much effort, they managed to close the championship even despite the presence of beastcoast-level teams in the list of participants.

Shopify Rebellion won 3 matches: against beastcoast, BB Team and HellRaisers. They got a draw in the match against Geek Slate, Aster, Entity and Knights, and lost only to Team Liquid.

Shopify Rebellion Heroes

The most selectable character in Shopify Rebellion is Rubick. The hero appeared in picks 13 times with a win rate of 84%.

Followed by Shadow Fiend (12 matches, 75% win), Primal Beast (9 games, 77% win), Tusk (9 matches, 77% win), Mirana (9 matches, 66% win).

History of personal confrontations

Prior to this, the teams did not play with each other. The match within the main stage of Lima Major 2023 will be the debut face-to-face confrontation between the teams.

Match outcome

There is every reason to hope for a close one in this match, and I will give my preference to Shopify Rebellion. With SabeRLight at 3, they can crush their counterparts and win in the laning stage, which will not allow Spirit to go to the comfortable mid game that they love.

I believe in the success of Shopify Rebellion, but I consider the bet on the +2.5 total to be the safest bet.

Bottom line: Shopify Rebellion wins.