Прогноз на матч: T1 - Alliance | Dota 2
ESL One Fall 2021As part of the final match of the first round of the ESL One Fall 2021 playoffs, Alliance and T1 will meet. The case when you can expect any outcome from a duel.
And here I am not exaggerating. In the course of the tournament, both Alliance and T1 show a nondescript Dota.
Although the T1 team is strong and are the champions of the previous ESL, now they do not look like a team that is ready to win this time too.
Alliance doesn't look like a powerful team at all. Yes, they are good and a ticket to TI confirms this, but now the club does not look like a contender for victory either.
However, a winner must be determined. We will try to predict it and figure out what to expect from this meeting.
Form T1
T1 will be the nominal favorite for this fight. In the case of Alliance as an adversary, it is quite logical.
Despite the not very good level of performance during the tournament, T1 is still in favor against the background of Alliance. At least so it seems to me.
T1 Latest Results
- Lost to Team Spirit 0-2
- Lose at Tundra 0-2
- Defeat Creepwave 2-0
- Beat Thunder Predator 2-0
- Defeat to Virtus.pro with a score of 0-2
During the group stage, T1 lost to all direct competitors. It looks like the new patch is not working in favor of T1 so far.
Heroes T1
Most played T1 heroes are Lion (4 matches, 75% win rate), Pangolier (3 matches, 66 win rate), Kunka (3 matches, 0% win rate).
Most successful heroes - Snapfire, Medusa (2 matches, 100% wins).
Alliance Form
Alliance will act as the catch-up in this match. With this, everything is clear.
In the past, ESL Alliance performed well, but now the team does not cause concern. They played "cool" in the group, and their latest results are about that.
Alliance Recent Results
- Defeat Team Empire 2-0
- Draw with SG e-sports 1-1
- Lost to PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
- Draw with Beastcoast 1-1
- Draw with Team Liquid 1-1
They didn't seem to lose to anyone out of place, but often the team was simply absent on the map.
Alliance heroes
Alliance's top picks are Sand King (4 matches, 75% win rate), Beastmaster (3 matches, 66% win rate), Lina (3 matches, 33% win rate).
The most successful are Keeper of the Light (2 matches, 100% wins) and a number of heroes that appeared once (Clinkz, Leshrack, Lion, and so on).
History of personal confrontations
The last time the teams played was at ESL One Summer 2021. Then T1 celebrated a clear victory.
The outcome of the fight
In this match I believe more in T1, but in the current conditions I want to give Alliance a chance. Again a handicap, although I do not exclude the transformation of T1 into the playoffs.
Result: handicap +1.5 on Alliance.
T1 and Alliance will play each other in the ESL One Fall 2021 Lower Bracket. Forecast for this fight, where it is difficult to single out a clear favorite and an outsider. The teams are about the same level of play and a very colorful game awaits us.
T1 finished the group stage with 3 defeats: losing to Team Spirit, Virtus.pro and Tundra Esports, but outplayed Thunder Predator and Creepwave, who were eliminated.
Alliance is on the 3rd line in group "B", they have 3 draws with beastcoast, Team Liquid and SG Esports, a victory over Team Empire and a defeat against PSG.LGD.
T1 is played by: 23savage, Karl, Kuku, Xepher, Whitemon
Alliance is supported by: Nikobaby, Limmp, s4, Handsken, fng
ESL One Fall 2021 Group Stage T1 Results
- Defeating Thunder Predator
- Defeating Creepwave
- Defeat to Virtus.pro
- Defeat by Team Spirit
- Defeat by Tundra Esports
Alliance results in the ESL One Fall 2021 group stage
- Defeating Team Empire
- Defeat from PSG.LGD
- Draw with beastcoast
- Draw with Team Liquid
- Draw with SG Esports
Alliance highly rate Sand King, Beastmaster, Lina, Keeper of the Light, 100% win rate with KotL, Tidehunter, Leshrac, Faceless Void, Morphling, but there is only 1 game played. Good win rate with Sand King, 75% for 4 games, 66.67% for 3 games on Beastmaster. Failed to win with Phoenix, Omniknight, Lycan, Mars, Chen, Medusa, Batrider, Weaver.
T1 likes to play with Lion and Pangolier, in Lyon the win rate is 75% for 4 cards, Pango has 66.67% for 3 cards. We never won with Kunkka, although they picked him three times. Also failed to win with Enchantress, Slark, Templar Assassin. Medusa, Snapfire, Faceless Void, Dark Seer, Riki, Legion Commander have good win rates. Interestingly, they use Nature`s Prophet, Leshrac, Beastmaster. Cannot win with Undying, Wintern Wyvern, Monkey King, Ember Spirit, Windranger, Phantom Lancer, Omniknight, Sand King, Magnus.
I think that T1 is many times stronger than Alliance, the game of the European team has never been impressed. I agree that Alliance's participation in The International 10 is only a merit of the DPC format from Valve this season, none of the players of the current Alliance roster deserves even the top 10 on Inta in terms of their level of play. They don't do much, they are weak as a team. The T1 looks a lot more interesting, they have good peaks and a great individual shape. They lost only to frankly strong teams: Team Spirit, Virtus.pro and Tundra Esports, the “Bears” were almost squeezed out of 1 map.
Bookmakers give odds of 1.72 on T1 and 2.15 on Alliance. In general, I have no doubt that T1 will win, I tend to 2: 1 behind them - the coefficient is 3.4. It is best to watch the drafts, since some teams' strategies may appear only before the playoffs, so the LIVE format is important.
Forecast: T1 will confidently beat Alliance at ESL One Fall 2021 - coefficient 1.732; with a risk of 2: 1 per T1 - coefficient 3.4
I don't like the way Alliance threw the game against LGD, it looked very stupid and strange, the guys with the replacement win back a decent advantage over you. Alliance often makes banal mistakes, the player in third position does not finish the game very often, and this is a fact. This moment was noticed not only by me, professional players in the past or in the present say that s4 really does not reach the desired level of play. In today's match, you will see all this, I do not recommend betting on Alliance in this match. T1 are playing more or less at this tournament, they have three out of five victories in the best of 2 format, I think this is a good result in fact.
T1 win