Greetings!
The first day of games at DreamLeague S19 is drawing to a close and we're ready to put our betting tip on Evil Geniuses vs Beastcoast. The South American derby should be heresy, at least because of the principal nature of the match for the sides.
We have reviewed the history of Evil Geniuses and Beastcoast in the DPC rounds, analysed their performance on the international stage and assessed the game directly at DreamLeague S19. We're ready to share our thoughts on the upcoming match and analyze the potential outcome.
Next up.
Evil Geniuses form - in attempt to become South America's top 1
Let's start the EG - bc match review with an analysis of the Evil Geniuses' form. In this match, they will play as favourites, which is indicated by several parameters, including the odds from the bookies.
The bookmakers single out Evil Geniuses as the winner of the match, estimating their chance of winning at odds around 1.6. The situation around the EG favourite is quite peculiar.
In the regional matches, the Evil Geniuses are consistently ranked in the top 2, before their arch-rivals Beastcoast. Hence the fundamental nature of the match.
If we take into account the games at DreamLeague S19, here EG did look better, but not by much. The team played in subgroup A, where they battled Shopify Rebellion, Gaimin Gladiators, TSM and others.
EG finished 3rd in their basket, winning 10 of the 14 matches played. The team hasn't lost a single series, something only 5 teams could boast at this tournament.
- The Evil Geniuses line-up for DreamLeague S19: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.
The EG roster is very balanced and any of the EG cows can turn on at any time. Wisper is the most memorable, wreaking havoc on his opponents.
What else stands out in an Evil Geniuses game is their playstyle.
The most popular Evil Geniuses heroes at DreamLeague S19
The top 3 most popular Evil Geniuses heroes are Leshrac, Riki and Primal Beast. All have appeared 4 times and won 3 matches each.
Also in spades were Batrider and Jakiro, who each won 3 out of 3 matches. Marci, IO, Death Prophet have 100% win rate,
If you believe in the success of Evil Geniuses in a principled match and their victory here - pick Evil Geniuses as the winner of the match with odds in the region of 1.5 - 1.6.
Don't trust the bookies - see how BC played before they got to DreamLeague S19.
Form beastcoast - the best team in South America
Opposing Evil Geniuses in this encounter will be Beastcoast. Peruvian counterparts EG will play in this match in underdog status.
Bookmakers do not rate Beastcoast's chances of winning very highly. In their opinion, the odds for bc success are at 2.5.
Such a pre-match position looks strange, because as we said above, BC look very good in their home region, often leaving no chance for their rivals, including EG, whom they have beaten twice.
On the international stage, there isn't much of a gap between the teams either. At The Lima Major 2023 Beastcoast finished in the top-12, twice as bad as EG with their top-6, but already at DreamLeague S19, which is basically no different from The Lima Major 2023 in terms of stature, bc showed virtually mirror results to EG.
The team played subgroup B with a 1-6-0 series score and 8-6 on the cards. Like EG, they didn't lose a single game, which hints at their ability to take on any opponent, including Team Liquid. At the same time, it shows their instability, because they had to play a re-match to get to the next stage, although they succeeded in the end.
- The beastcoast line-up: K1, DarkMago, Sacred, Scofield, Stinger.
A stable group of five Peruvians against the other Peruvians. What could be better?
Beastcoast's most popular characters
The top three most picked characters are Tusk, Enchantress, Tiny. The first two have an 83% win rate in 6 games and the last one has 66%.
Next are Snapfire, Phoenix and Clockwerk. All 5 games each, Snapfire 5 wins, Phoenix and Clock 4 each.
Unlike Evil Geniuses, BC play more straightforward, using "unique" characters a little less frequently. If you believe in their victory and are ready for a repeat of the regional games, bet on a bc win with odds in the region of 2.5.
To make your choice, we suggest looking at the face-to-face performance between the teams. It's pretty high-profile.
History of head-to-head encounters
In the new season, the head-to-head score is 2-1 in favour of Beastcoast. The team won twice in their home league, but lost 0-2 in the Lima Major 2023.
Predicted Evil Geniuses vs Beastcoast
In this match I expect a bright game from the two Peruvian teams and I'm ready to believe in the success of Beastcoast. As far as I'm concerned, the experience of winning in the local league should help Bc to outplay Evil Geniuses, thus taking revenge for the offence at The Lima Major 2023.
However, I don't believe in a clean win for bc. I think it will be 2-1 in favour of K1 and company.
Bottom line: victory for BC.
