Прогноз на матч: Nigma - PSG.LGD | Dota 2
WePlay AniMajor 2021A rather vigorous Wild Card of the Kiev Major is behind. Now we are waiting for no less colorful matches within the group stage.
Based on the results of the Wild Card predictions, I come to the conclusion that Bo2 is a wild roulette and it’s not an idea to analyze the teams of which. That is why, on the first day for analysis, I chose a pair of Nigma PSG.LGD.
If the latter are still in the shadows, then we have already seen enough of Nigma. KuroKy and the company did not lie when they said in an interview that they are now close in shape to the condition of 9 The International.
In principle, Nigma's passage to the group stage was expected, but I did not fully believe in it. Still, not the priority of the tournament for Secret coupled with the replacement at IG played a role.
Nevertheless, the winners are not judged, but in our case they are analyzed. This is what we will do.
Nigma shape
In the course of Wild Card Nigma showed that Kiev is ready to give all the best. It is not surprising, because at stake is a trip to The International.
Now Nigma does not see strong drawdowns in an individual skill. All are consistently performing in their positions, which is good news.
Let's walk through the heroes. Wild Card Nigma is heavily favored by Mars, AA, Invoker, Dark Seer, Lion, ET.
Nigma's most successful heroes are Mars (6-0), Invoker (4-0) and Lion (3-0). Failure can be called games with DS (1-2) and, for example, Tidehunter on carry. The latter fact indicates that Nigma's experiments should not be overdone, and Luna, Gyro and Anti-Mage with Spectra are their choices.
Nigma Latest Results
- Draw 1-1 Vici
- Defeat AS Monaco Gambit 2-0
- Lost to IG 0-2
- Defeat Execration 2-0
- Draw in the match with Team Secret with the score 1-1
Add to this the victory in the replay with IG and, in principle, we get a very fighting team, capable of fighting with dignity against the Chinese giants. But is it capable of fighting against PSG.LGD?
PSG.LGD Form
From the already understandable Nigma, let's move on to the still incomprehensible, but even without this, clearly strong PSG.LGD. Before the start of the Major, they played the following: Enchantress, Snaprfire, Faceless Void, Leshrack, Mars, Warlock. At the same time, Void with Snapfire has a 100% win rate.
In general, the Chinese teams have historically performed well with Void, so this does not cause much surprise. However, PSG.LGD can easily play Magnus or Riki on carries.
PSG.LGD latest matches results
- Win against RNG 2-0
- Win against RNG 2-0
- Lose from RNG with a score of 1-2
- Defeat Vici Gaming 2-1
- Defeat Aster 2-0
However, these statistics are not so important, since we have an inter-regional duel ahead of us, and in China everyone beats everyone. However, in Europe too.
Personal matches history
In the 2021 season, the teams already met during the Wild Card round at ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021, and then PSG.LGD celebrated the victory. It's true that Nigma played with a substitution in that match.
Match outcome
Considering the trend of the Major and the way PSG.LGD start the tournaments (they don't do it too confidently), I see a draw in this match. Nigma are already warmed up, and PSG.LGD obviously needs to swing, therefore I do not deny potential 2-0 from Europeans, but 1-1 still looks more realistic.
Outcome: 1-1.
Nigma and PSG.LGD will play against each other in the Weplay Animajor 2021 group stage. Nigma had a very difficult game day yesterday with replays against Team Secret and an overnight match with iG.
PSG.LGD will have only 1 meeting today before Nigma, their opponents will be only beastcoast. I advise you to look for the LGD drafts and the individual Ame kits, if everything is cool, then Nigma will hardly have a chance.
Nigma demonstrated their strategies, maybe they have something else, or maybe they were the main and key heroes.
Played for PSG.LGD: NothingToSay, Ame, Faith_bian, XinQ, y`
For Nigma: iLTW, Miracle-, MinD_ConTroL, GH, Kuroky
Match prediction: PSG.LGD vs Nigma in the group stage Weplay Animajor 2021
It is worth noting immediately important points, PSG.LGD have good chances of a direct invite to The International 10, they are the main contenders for victory in the tournament. It is enough for them to get into the playoffs and this is practically their invite to Int. Nigma is doing badly in this regard, for a direct pass to The International 10 they need to get to the grand final, they had a point penalty due to the replacement of w33 with iLTW.
Bookmakers give 2.918 odds on PSG.LGD, draws were estimated at 2.11 and 4.66 on Nigma. If I hadn't seen the quotes, I advised you to bet on 1 card from Nigma with a coefficient of 1.43, but the incomprehensible 2.918 on PSG.LGD should be caught right now. Nigma showed us Luna, Dark Seer, Templar Assasin, Invoker, Morphling, Puck, and from PSG.LGD it is definitely worth banning Broodmother from Faith_bian.
Obviously unreasonable coefficient of 2.918, I advise you to believe in the Chinese as soon as possible, since after some games the odds on them may clearly decrease.