Прогноз на матч: Team Secret - AS Monaco Gambit | Dota 2

Нічия

Team Secret and ASM.GMB will play each other in the opening match of the second Major of this season - WePlay Animajor 2021. How I missed the high-quality Dota from the teams, but this is not the case.

Immediately, the European region is clearly stronger than the CIS, frankly, ASM.GMB got a place in WildCard due to the failure of Natus Vincere in games with Team Unique and PuckChamp.

2 days ago, ASM.GMB announced the termination of cooperation with Vladimir No[O] ne Minenk and Akbar SoNNeikO Butaev. They will be replaced by Lorenof in the mid and 633 in the five.

Team Secret is played by: MATUMBAMAN, Nisha, zai, YapzOr, Puppey
ASM.GMB is supported by: dream`, Lorenof, AfterLife, Immersion, 633

I see no reason to discuss drafts, here obviously Team Secret will outplay the players of the second division like 633 and Lorenof.

Match prediction: Team Secret vs. ASM.GMB in Weplay Animajor 2021

Vasily AfterLife Shishkin (ASM.GMB offlane) notes that despite the changes in the roster, they have a working atmosphere and train. It is noteworthy that even if ASM.GMB played without substitutions, betting on them against Team Secret is a very, very bad idea.

By the way, right after the news about the replacement in ASM.GMB, I bet in all matches against Gambit at the WildCard stage, the only doubt is in the fight with Execration.

Bookmakers quite correctly give 10 odds for ASM.GMB, 5.2 for a draw and 1.2 for Team Secret. Note that the match format is best of 2 and a draw is possible, but not in this case. Here is an unambiguous 2: 0 for the Secret.

Prediction: Team Secret will beat ASM.GMB at Weplay Animajor 2021 - odds 1.2

Нічия

Look at what to expect from the game against Vici Nigma, go to the parallel opposition. And it turned out to be the Secret match against AS Monaco Gambit.

Actually, had I bet such a pair last season, I would most likely have missed the match. But now the positions of the teams and the general temperature in the ward have changed.

Now Secret does not instill fear in all European and CIS teams. Now Secret with grief in half make their way into the Wild Card of the Major and are far from the group stage, not to mention the playoffs.

On the other hand, we have a wounded beast in the face of AS Monaco Gambit. After Noone and SoNNeiKo left the team, Gambit single-handedly became the team's "main Cinderella", and it's humanly difficult not to root for them and not empathize with them.

From this we get a very interesting storyline. Secret, who have already made it to The International and do not lose anything from defeats, and AS Monaco Gambit, who need to prove their worth without the main stars of the former roster.

We figure out what to expect from the meeting and try to predict the winner of the next Wild Card round. Oh, how difficult it is in some places in such stages.

Secret form

Perhaps, let's start the analysis of the match with the form of the nominal favorite of the confrontation and, in narrow circles, the favorite of the entire Wild Card. It is foolish to argue that this is Team Secret.

Be that as it may, Secret still know how to play and win in Dota. The shaky start of the season may be due to the "no need" to give all the best, since they have already earned a direct ticket to TI.

Secret last games results

Beat Tundra Esports 2-1
Lost to Alliance with a score of 1-2
Lost to OG with a score of 0-2
Defeat Liquid 2-1
Defeat Brame 2-0

Again, the latest performance shows that Secret is not very strong at the moment and can be defeated. In the case of Gambit, it is necessary.

AS Monaco Gambit Form

The role of outsider in this match, as well as potentially in all others, was taken over by AS Monaco Gambit. But this is even better, because it is a pleasure to watch such a thing.

We have witnessed more than once stories when at the decisive moment the team was literally "thrown", and then it began to play with new colors. Hopefully the case of AS Monaco Gambit will be identical.

AS Monaco Gambit Latest Results

Lost to NaVi 0-2
Winstrike 2-0
Beat PuckChamp 2-0
Defeat EXTREMUM 2-1
Beat Unique 2-0

Starting the season with 3 defeats, AS Monaco Gambit managed to break into the second major. The story is very similar to Secret, but not much with a different ending.

Personal meeting history

The clubs have a fairly rich history of personal confrontations, which stretches over periods with different rosters. However, taking into account the last 5 games, we will get the absolute dominance of Secret: Puppey and the company have not lost a card.

Match outcome

I have already admitted that I will be a little fueled by Gambit. Nevertheless, logic tells me that the takeoff story will not work for us.

Even though Secret doesn't need to win this Major at all, I think Puppey will want to win it. He will start with Gambit.

Still, with two forced substitutions, Gambit does not look like a team capable of resisting against Secret, as much as we would like it. Secret victory.

Outcome: Secret victory.

Нічия

AS Monaco Gambit has huge roster problems, two key players left the team before the tournament, now they have moved to NAVI and are enjoying life. It will be simply unrealistic for the AS Monaco Gambit team to come out with WildCard, but I will have to root for them, since these are teams from the CIS region. Team Secret will play their game, the team is very strong in team and individual performance, they will calmly win this match with a score of 2-0 and will not feel the opponent. There is a theory that Puppey will come up with something during the draft stage, but even with experimentation, this guy will win this match without too much trouble.

I recommend betting on 2-0 from Team Secret.