Прогноз на матч: Team Liquid - Team Aster | Dota 2
The International 2022The second day of the main stage of The International 2022 marks the end of the first round of the upper bracket of the playoffs of the main tournament of the year. We will find out the name of the last participant of the second round of the winners' bracket, who will play against the winner of the OG/Tundra Esports pair.
Team Liquid and Team Aster will play for the right to enter the TOP-6. The classic confrontation between West and East is entering a new circle.
Let's try to figure out what to expect from the match and which of the teams will be stronger at the end of this b3.
Form Team Liquid
Team Liquid and Team Aster will play as favorites in this match. The chance of a team from Western Europe winning is estimated at 1.55.
Such a coefficient for the match of the upper bracket of the playoffs of The International is the right indicator. The bookies have a lot of confidence in Liquid and are actually confident in their victory.
It was possible to imagine this during the season, but not in the second half of the year. Liquid ended the season disgustingly.
In the first round of the 2021/2022 DPC, WEU Upper Division Team Liquid took first place in the regular season, and then finished second at the regional finals, sensationally losing to Gladiators. The next round was slightly worse for Liquid than the previous one, but still healthy - the team took third place and went to ESL One Stockholm 2022.
Liquid failed at the first major of the year: the team took the TOP-12. The LAN problem after updating the roster was acute.
On the next tour, Liquid took second place and went to America. At PGL Arlington Major 2022, the team repeated the “success” of the previous major: again the TOP-12 and the lack of DPC points.
Before the qualifiers for The International 2022, Liquid played at the commercial ESL One Malaysia 2022, where they crashed again, finishing in the ill-fated TOP-12.
Before the qualifications, the team approached in the status of an underdog, and there was no limit to the surprise from their performance. The team advanced to the group stage of the main event of the year, where it continued to gain momentum.
Team Liquid results at The International 2022
Team Liquid at The International 2022 ended up in Group A, where they faced giants like EG, OG, PSG.LGD, Royal Never Give Up and others.
“Liquid” did not dishonor their tag, but on the contrary, they showed class. For the group, the “horses” won 5 matches, drew three times and lost 1 series.
It seems that Liquid are rushing on courage, which is not surprising, because this tournament will be the last for one of the headliners of the roster.
Team Liquid roster
- MATUMBAMAN
- MiCke
- zai
- Boxi
- InsaNia
MATUMBA is in the middle of their last dance and it shows. Lasse found a second youth and it's nice to watch.
Heroes Team Liquid
In their picks, Liquid focuses on Death Prophet (4 matches, 75% wins), Mars (4 matches, 50% wins), Slark (3 matches, 66% wins), Vengeful Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins), Marci and Pudge (3 matches, 66% of wins).
Don't underestimate MATUMBA's signature characters like Lone Druid, Pudge and more. Also good is MiCke, often criticized in the mid lane, but this year playing a stable tournament.
Team Aster Uniform
Team Aster will play as an outsider in this match. The chance of a club from China to win is estimated by bookmakers with a coefficient of around 2.3.
To be honest, this figure looks sad. And it's not about the level of Aster's play, but about the tournament's tendencies.
It looks like Monet and company are the last bastion of the Chinese region, intent on collapsing. At least according to bookmakers, which does not arise from the void.
Aster this year is perhaps the most stable representative of China. The team played well both on the home stage and in the international arena.
During the DPC tour, the team entered the TOP-3 twice (2nd place in the first round and 3rd place in the second). In the third draw, Aster took second place, which allowed them to get to their first major event.
At PGL Arlington Major 2022, the team took third place, which gave them the opportunity to go directly to The International 2022, the group stage of the main event of the year. Before him, the team received a good boost in the form of a second place at ESL One Malaysia 2022.
At the event, Aster confirm their level, consistently demonstrating a balanced DotA.
Aster results at The International 2022
Aster ended up in Group B, which, in my humble opinion, was much weaker than Group A. Nevertheless, Team Aster did not feel comfortable, taking a critical 4th place, but advancing to the upper bracket of the playoffs.
The team won 3 series, drew 4 and lost 2 games. Aster's card score was 10-8.
Team Aster roster
- Monet
- Ori
- xxs
- BoBoKa
- 皮球
Is Monet China's Last Hope? Now he has a real chance to beat his competitors in the region and become on the same level with Ame and other representatives of the “pantheon” of Chinese DotA.
Heroes Team Aster
At The International 2022, the team is not reinventing the wheel. They play wild, picking Mars, Puck, Tiny, Snapfire, Mars, Primal Beast, Marci, Visage.
There is nothing supernatural, except perhaps for playing on “classic” cores like Sven, Luna and Drow Ranger. Monet doesn't play Shadow Fiend and other non-conventional heroes that are strong right now.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams in these rosters did not play with each other. This match will be the debut confrontation between the teams.
The outcome of the fight
Based on the matches within the group stage, Liquid look stronger in all respects. They occasionally allowed small drawdowns, but Aster lost to conditional Fnatic.
Team play depends on Monet and is a scourge in modern dota. The four plus one tactic has not worked for a long time, and for Aster this is the cornerstone.
I believe in Liquid's victory, because in this tournament they have already proved their ability and it is not yet clear that they plan to stop. In general, you need to close Monet, blocking the “standard” cows for him and winning for them.
Bottom line: Liquid wins.
TeamLiquid
The Team Liquid team will prevail with a tactic that they were using in previous games, where the HC Matumbaman and the Midlaner change lanes, where they manage to overcome levels and GPM, thus giving comfort to the team. Although this tactic is already expected by Team Aster, there is little it can do, since the supp they choose have the characteristics of mobility. For now, the Team Liquid picks seem accurate to me when it comes to choosing them, which is why the game will be more favorable for the Team Liquid team.
On the other hand, Team Aster will be able to counteract this possible tactic that Team Aster will carry out, thus being able to get a map out of Liquid. On the other hand, Liquid's gameplay is much faster and more mobile, but the important piece and weight falls on the HC, which is usually in the middle of the map. For this reason, as the game and these games are complicated, since Ti11 is bringing many surprises, we believe that Liquid will try to secure the first map to be much more comfortable to face the 2nd map, managing to carry out the tactic of moving the lines for greater comfort.
Summary
Liquid will manage to prevail in this Bo3 against Aster, executing in 1 or more games the change of lines by the HC and the Midlaner of the Liquid team.