Прогноз на матч: Thunder Awaken - Team Secret | Dota 2
The International 2022The playoffs of The International 2022 continue in Singapore. We are reviewing the third game day of the main stage.
The main confrontation of the matchday will be the duel between Team Secret and Thunder Awaken. The winner of the bout will advance to the top three teams in the world.
Admit it, the sign of the duel also intrigues you. For the first time in the history of The International tournaments, a team from South America climbed so high.
A year of surprises in terms of DotA, not otherwise. The match promises to be hot - will Puppey be able to repeat last year's result by reaching the TOP-3, or will the main opening of the tournament represented by Thunder continue the benefit performance. We understand.
Team Secret uniform
Team Secret will play as the favorite in this match. The team's chance of winning is estimated by a coefficient around 1.4.
In this match, the bookmaker prefers Secret for a reason. It's about Secret's performance over the past month.
Frankly, before the start of the Last Chance Qualifier, predicting Secret in the TOP-3 was like a fantasy. The team looked not just sluggish, she was actually on her deathbed.
Puppey seems to have made the only right decision to make drastic changes to the roster. Secret rejuvenated and the performance came. Not right away, but it came.
This was especially evident at the Last Chance Qualifier, where the team made its way through the Western European qualifiers, taking 2nd place there. At the “Last Chance Tournament”, Clement Ivanov's team got a new breath - I can't name the performance otherwise.
Having swayed at the start, they went through with courage to the group stage of The International from the first line of the LCQ. There was so much courage that they are already at the event itself.
Team Secret results at The International 2022
On the main arena of the year, Secret were assigned to Group B, where their rivals were Aster, Tundra, current world champions Spirit, Fnatic, Entity and other Thunder Awaken themselves.
The Secret game in the Last Chance Qualifier was not a one-time splash: the group stage of The International 2022 the team finished in 2nd place, playing in series with a score of 5-3-1 and 13-5 on maps. Only colleagues from the Western European workshop Tundra Esports turned out to be higher than them.
The first opponent of Team Secret in the playoffs of The International 2022 was the “great and terrible” PSG.LGD. It would be difficult to come up with more serious tests for the newly formed roster. Secret did not just pass it with dignity, I would say that they did it easily.
PSG.LGD were swept away in a manner unique in this tournament. As Puppey said in the post-match interview, people have forgotten how to play aggressive DotA, we will remind them. We reminded that PSG.LGD will definitely learn their lesson.
Team Secret roster
- crystallis
- Nisha
- Resolut1on
- Zayac
- Puppey
Speaking of Secret's good performance, one cannot ignore the main guarantee of this performance - the team's roster, mentioned in passing above.
The reboot has benefited the team, it's stupid not to notice it. Puppey showed why he is considered one of the best, if not the best, captain of all time. Putting together a fairly combat-ready team of players of not the first magnitude is not an easy task, and Clement succeeded.
Team Secret Heroes
Secret play their own DotA, but they don't stray far from the meta. Their most common spawns were Tusk (7 matches, 85% wins), Witch Doctor (5 matches, 80; wins), Monkey King (5 matches, 60% wins), Pangolier (4 matches, 50% wins), Death Prophet (4 matches, 50% win rate).
They love Lina for Nisha through a magical build, which is a rather non-trivial choice during this championship. They have a terrible Dawnbraker from Crystallis in the first position, which Vp once tried to push through, but Puppey managed to do it.
Thunder Awaken form
Thunder Awaken will play as an outsider in this match. Teams from South America are given a coefficient of around 2.7 for the victory.
2.7 against a club from Southeast Asia, for a second, in the match for reaching the TOP-3 (!) The International. No, how is it?
Thunder Awaken are the main stars of the current The International, for me that's for sure. Even if they lose here and get eliminated in the next round, nothing will change for me.
The team broke the stereotype about the one-sidedness and uncompetitiveness of the South American region in DotA. And I can't call the performance at this tournament some kind of luck, Thunder play like lions.
As the year progressed, the team dominated the home stage and played in the Majors twice. At the first stage, the team took TOP-6, and at the second, TOP-16, which raised doubts about their ability to play on the international arena.
However, with the start of The International 2022, all doubts were dispelled.
Thunder Awaken results at The International 2022
At the main tournament of the year, Thunder Awaken got into group B, where they faced Team Aster, Tundra Esports, Secret, Fnatic, Spirit and other “big” clubs in the world.
In such a company, Thunder was not lost, even more, they supplemented it, simultaneously squeezing out contenders for the TOP-4. This happened with Team Secret, for example.
Thunder Awaken finished the group stage 2-6-1 in series and 10-8 in maps. Their only loss was in a match against Entity.
In the playoffs, Evil Geniuses chose them as their opponent. The North American team apparently thought that the neighbors from South America, who are close in spirit, are not a reason to strain and an easy passage to the TOP-6 is guaranteed to them. Probably many people thought so, except for Thunder themselves.
The Peruvians swept away Evil Geniuses, not giving them a chance not just to comeback, but even to play DotA. The beating looked especially elegant on the second map, where Thunder Awaken crushed EG in 29 minutes with the help of Dawnbraker and Morph with Tiny.
Thunder Awaken line-up
- Pakazs
- Darkmago
- Sacred
- Matthew
- pandaboo
I have already sung tirades in honor of the Thunder performers, but they deserve it. The beauty of Thunder is that they don't play the archetypal hit-and-run dota often associated with South Americans. They can show the academic level of DotA, which, thanks to the personal level of the performers, plays with bright colors.
Heroes of Thunder Awaken
Thunder Awaken play a bit of their own DotA. They don't really honor meta characters like Shadow Fiend, and prefer to get rid of Broodmother at the ban stage.
In turn, the most frequent guest was Dawnbreaker, who appeared in 8 matches and has a win rate of 75%. Also frequently picked were Crystal Maiden (62% win rate at 8 games), Nyx Assassin (7 match, 71% win rate), Pudge for Pakazs (6 match, 83% win rate).
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams played each other in the group stage. That match ended in a draw.
Match outcome
I expect high-speed DotA from this fight. Both teams are not averse to playing at a high pace, as demonstrated by their previous matches. Given the playoff trend, 2 maps may well await us, because the meta formed at the tournament does not give second chances.
I am impressed by both teams in terms of the game, and they play, as for me, on an equal footing. I would like Puppey to compete for Aegis again, because it deserves it and does a great job for this from season to season, but the “Cinderella story” is always appropriate at such events.
In general, I suggest taking a head start on Thunder, and then come what may.
Result: +1.5 on Thunder Awaken.
Upper bracket between Team Secret and Thunder Awaken in the upper bracket of The International 11 playoffs - forecast for this match. TA, who are creating a sensation and are already in the top 5-6. Team Secret set the meta with their Nyx Assassin and Leshrac; Nisha is in incredible shape, as is Resolut1on on his heroes.
Thunder Awaken main characters: Tiny/Zeus in the mid; Dawnbreaker/Enigma for Sacred; Morphling/Pudge/Gyrocopter for Pakazs. As supports, both teams have very similar heroes - Crystal Maiden and Nyx Assassin. It's also interesting what the Peruvians will think with Earth Spirit/Tusk.
Analytics and bets on Dota 2 for TI11 in Telegram: t.me/flzbets
Both teams play aggressively, Nisha plays very cool, according to the latest results, we can conclude that Thunder Awaken defeated the evil Geniuses, and Team Secret definitely gained incredible confidence after a 2:0 victory with PSG.LGD, they were obvious outsiders there, but closed skating rink without a chance. Another Chinese was taught to rate Leshrac.
The objective favorite here is Team Secret, they directly set the meta in this tournament, just a month ago the team could not qualify for TI11, I believed in them, put everything on them, they were losing, and now they are just the top 5-6 of the championship and the main contenders for victory, like this. The main thing is that Puppey does not invent or try to counter, just ban Dawnbreaker/Tiny in the first stage and Morphling/Pudge in the second.
I expect an easy victory for Team Secret, they should go through to the final of the upper bracket without any problems, at 2:0 there should be normal odds.
Team Secret win - odds 1.59
Thunder Awaken win - odds 2.488
2:0 from Team Secret - coefficient 2.62. The most save bet is just Team Secret winning; for a risk with a normal ratio of 2:0.
Prediction: Team Secret will win Thunder Awaken - odds 1.59