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The International 2023 continues to delight us with its matches. The main tournament of the year is still in the group stage, which is nearing completion.
In one of the parallel matches of the first round of the second game day we will see Keyd Stars and Talon clash. And this, as strange as it may sound, is the central game of almost the whole day in Group D.
The thing is that both teams are fighting for a place in the top 4 and, as a consequence, for the continuation of the game on the stage of TI 12. And the most interesting thing about The International is that Keyd Stars have better chances.
Let's see if one of the sides will earn a clean win, which will significantly improve their life and tournament position, or if we will see a draw, which will bring both teams to the brink of elimination from The International 2023.
Let's go.
Talon Esports Form
Let's open the match analysis with an analysis of Talon Esports' form. In this match they will have to play the first number one with quite a serious lead: the odds for Talon's victory are at 1.7.
The team has made it to the top 1 of the region and also reached the heights at Lima Major 2023: in the first round of SEA the team took the 3rd place, at The Lima Major 2023 the same top 3, and in the next round they won the home league.
However, what followed was chaos. The first signs of Talon's fickleness were at DreamLeague S19, when after a solid The Lima Major 2023, the team finished top-12 at a major international event.
At the next Major, The Bali Major 2023, Talon finished in the top 8 before a very mediocre performance at DPC SEA 2023 Tour 3: Division 1, finishing in 4th place in their home league.
The last tournament before the Riyadh Masters 2023 was DreamLeague Season 20. There the team finished in the top 4.
- Talon Esports roster: 23savage, Mikoto, Jabz, Q, Oli.
At the Riyadh Masters 2023 Talon Esports got straight into the group stage, and all thanks to ESL rankings. They did well in the group stage: they finished in the top 4 and made it to the top play-offs.
In the first match Talon Esports played against Quest Esports. In a very difficult match, being an outsider on paper, Talon Esports managed to win with a score of 2-1.
In the second round of the top set, Talon played the same game against Liquid when Zai ate them ancient during a seemingly victorious trip to Liquid's base. However, Talon didn't get confused at all and in the lower grid first defeated 9 Pandas, and then defeated Gaimin Gladiators, the storm of international dota.
In the match for the exit to the grand final Talon again ran into Liquid and again lost. Thus - the top 3 at the Riyadh Masters to add to Talon's prizes for the year.
Before the Long Convergence The International 2023 they visited DreamLeague Season 21, where for some reason they decided to play at half strength. Otherwise I can't explain the team from the top 3 of Riyadh Masters not getting out of the group.
However, apparently the result of DreamLeague S21 was not a coincidence. Talon played disgustingly on the first day, losing to Tundra and TSM without much chance.
The most popular Talon Esports characters
The most popular Talon Esports character is Tiny. The team swaps his positions, but most often he is sent to position 4. The character has 8 matches and 87% wins.
Next are Natures Phophet (7 games, 100% wins) and Io with Leshrac, who was also picked 7 times and won 6 matches.
Clockwerk (100% wins) and Morphing (60% wins) have appeared 5 times each.
Keyd Stars Form
We continue our match analysis with an analysis of Keyd Stars' match form. In this match the odds for the Brazilians to win are 9.5.
The season for the Brazilians from Keyd Stars started with an appearance at the DPC SA 2023 Tour 1: Division 1, where Keyd Stars reached the top 4, Ledgeiv in the standings Thunder, Beastcoast and EG.
Next up was a series of localised commercial events, where Fallen Cup Season 2 is worth noting. Keyd Stars managed to take the cup in a struggle, defeating No Runes in the grand finals.
Later there was an appearance at the DPC SA 2023 Tour 2: Division 1, where Keyd Stars, after a top 4 finish in the first round, seemed to be in favour, but in the end they couldn't give a fight to the local clubs and were relegated to the second league.
In between the second and third rounds Keyd Stars played at 1XPLORE LATAM, where they took the top 2 twice. Having warmed up on small events Keyd Stars went to play the second division and had success: confident TOP-1 and here they are.
- Keyd Stars line-up: Costabile, 4nalog, fcr, Kingrd, KJ.
At the Long Sogpeg of qualifications Keyd Stars met Mad Kingds. The match ended 2-0 in favour of KS, but the second map was really difficult.
Next up for Keyd Stars was Thunder Awaken and that match, to me, was the main argument in favour of Keyd Stars as one of the winners of the qualifiers. KS outplayed their nominally stronger opponent, though not without problems, with a score of 2-0. But beaten they did.
In the match to qualify for The International 2023 Keyd Stars beat AcatSuki without any problems. Just before The International 2023 KS played two tournaments from Pinnacle. These were Malta Vibes #3 and Malta Vibes #4 - where they finished in the top 12 and top 8.
Keyd Stars had an unexpectedly good showing on the first day of play. The team finished 2-2 in the series, tied with PSG Quest and Tundra.
Keyd Stars most popular characters
The top most picked Keyd Stars characters is topped by Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared in the peak 6 times and has an 83% win rate.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are valued, having been peaked 5 times each with an 80% winrate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% win rate), Doom (4 matches, 75% win rate), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% win rate.
History of head-to-head meetings
Previously, the teams have not played each other in official matches.
Projected result of Keyd Stars vs Talon Esports at The International 2023
I don't have too much faith that Talon will be able to fully rebuild their game in a day. They looked too bad in the first series. Keyd Stars, on the other hand, are looking very lively and surprising. I will believe in the Brazilians on the second day as well, although there is still the possibility of a fluke and the Brazilians are very lucky.
Bottom line: +1.5 on Keyd Stars.
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