Прогноз на матч: Rogue - Team Vitality | LoL

Welcome to EGamersWorld.

The European League of Legends is heating up. One of the title tournaments of the professional LoL scene is heating up with the LEC 2024 Spring Split.

The split will see 10 teams battling it out to get into the top 8 and qualify for the play-offs. Not a difficult task, to be blunt, except that two teams will still be out of contention. And in the pairing of Rogue vs Vitality, there's a clear contender for that fate.

Let's try to figure out who will be stronger in this match and will be one step closer to the main stage of the championship.

Let's go.

Vitality Form

Let's open the match with an analysis of Vitality's form. In this match they will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.3.

Vitality is a rather dubious team. They showed a rather unstable game throughout last year. Globally speaking, they failed in season 13, and seriously.

They started last season by participating in LEC Winter 2023. In the regular season, Vitality went over the heads of their opponents: they played it 7-2 and then went to play the group stage, where they had much less luck. So much so that Vitality failed to get out of their basket, Ledgeiv SK Gaming and KOI. As a result, the top 5.

Next up was an appearance at LEC Spring 2024. This was Vitality's best split where they managed to make it to the top 3. However, that was enough for exactly nothing: just Top 3.

The last tournament last season for Vitality was LEC Summer 2023. And it was a total fiasco: Vitality had their worst performance of the year, going 1-8 in the regular season and finishing the split in the top 10.

• Vitality roster: Photon, Daglas, Vetheo, Carzzy, Hylissang.

The team has a pretty strong lineup, but the realisation is Vitality's kryptonite.

In the first match of LEC Winter 2024, Team Vitality will play against GIANTX, where I see problems for the Bees. I think EXCEL's peppy core will give Vitality a boost. And so it happened. And two more defeats later, against Fnatic and Team BDS.

Vitality were actually pleasantly surprised. After Long Sogpeg 0-3, the "bees" managed to comeback to score 4-5, thus making it to the next stage of the tournament.

In the first round of the LEC Winter 2024 play-offs Vitality played against SK Gaming. Surprisingly, the French were very convincing and closed the series with a score of 2-0. However, things were not so rosy after that, as Vitality played a derby against BDS, which ended with a super confident victory of the latter. The next match was the last one for Vitality in LEC Winter 2024. They played it against MAD Lions KOI and lost 0-2.

At the end of LEC Winter 2024 Vitality were ranked in the top 6.

The first week of LEC Spring 2024 started with a score of 2-1. They beat BDS and Heretics, but lost to SK. They will open the second week with a match against MAD Lions and given the Lions' result at LEC Winter 2024, Vitality have little chance of success.

Vitality's most popular champions

The most frequent guest on the top line is Jax (2 matches, 100% wins). Also picked were KSante, Gnar, Gwen and Ornn, Renekton and Gragas. Ornn and Renekton, who didn't quite hit the season 13 meta, lost their matches.

Bo predominantly played as Vi. One of the most meta characters of the season appeared in spades 4 times and won all his games. There was also Sejuani and Maokai (2 games and 1 win each).

On the centre line, Azir was the favourite character (3 games, 100% wins). The Croatian also played Ryze, Syndra, Cassiopeia, Tristana, LeBlanc and Taliyah. Only Tristana and LeBlanc lost.

Of the shooters, Zeri (3 games, 66% wins), Ezreal (2 matches, 100% wins), Varus (2 games, 100% wins) appeared most often. Caitlyn and Sivir peaked once each: the former won her game and the latter lost.

Of the supporting characters, Yummi (3 games, 33% wins), Ashe (2 games, 100% wins) played three times. Leona, Braum, Nami and Lux won once each.

Rogue uniforms

We continue our match analysis with an analysis of Rogue's form. In this match they will play as an underdog with odds to win at around 3.8.

Rogue had a very interesting position at LEC Winter 2024. The fact is that the team missed the entire 2023 and only returned to the competitive League of Legends on the eve of 2024. This is, in principle, a very logical decision, because in 2022 Rogue showed high results.

First, they proved themselves at LEC Spring 2022, reaching the Grand Final of the Spring Split. Then G2 stepped in and prevented Rogue from ending the season with a triumph.

However, fortune proved favourable in the next European league. At LEC Summer 2022, Rogue finished top-3 in the group stage, and then played a pretty tough play-offs: a 3-2 win over MAD Lions, a 0-3 loss to G2, a small final win over Fnatic, and finally an undisputed championship with a 3-0 win over G2.

Rogue visited Worlds 2022 in October the season before last. They were not expected to make it to Worlds 2022, but Rogue exceeded many expectations by making it to the play-offs. At the end of the tournament, the team finished in the top 8, which is an absolute success for European residents.

• Rogue line-up: Szygenda, Markoon, Larssen, Comp, Zoelys.

In the new season the core of Koi plays for Rogue, which is quite logical, because the club absorbed the slot of the Spanish organisation.

In the first match, Rogue will meet SK Gaming. I expect a win in the first match for the "new" team within the LEC. Next - the game against Heretics and here it will not be easier than in the match with SK: "Heretics" look good, and their roster is probably one of the most combative in the new LEC. In the end Rogue Ledge and Heretics beat G2 Esports, who are considered to be the main favourites for the tournament, but then lost to SK Gaming.

The first week Rogue went 1-2, which is not good, but not critical. But things got much worse, which led Rogue to a 2-6 statistic before Long Sogpeg's final match. And they lost that one, thus finishing in the top 9.

The first week of LEC Spring 2024, Rogue went as they were expected to go 0-3. The situation is already critical and a similar result in this round puts an end to Rogue's prospects of moving on. Rogue will start week two of LEC Spring 2024 with a match against Karmine Corp. Given Rogue's Long Corner at LEC Spring 2024, Rogue's chances of success are literally nonexistent.

Rogue's most popular champions

Ornn (4 matches, 25% wins), Gangplank (4 matches, 100% wins), Gnar (4 games, 50% wins), Gwen (4 matches, 50% wins) were all equally weaponised on top.

Wukong (4 matches, 75% wins), Vi (3 games, 33% wins), Trundle (3 matches, 33% wins) played in the forest.

Azir (6 matches, 66% wins), Taliyah (4 games, 25% wins) played on the centre.

ADC position was closed with Kalista (5 matches, 40% of wins), Ezrael (3 matches, 66% of wins), Sivir (3 matches, 66% of wins).

Renata Glasc (3 games, 33% wins), Rakan (3 matches, 100% wins), Nami (2 matches, 100% wins) were selected for the tournament.

Rogue - Vitality head-to-head history

In the previous split, at LEC Winter 2024, Vitality were stronger.

Predicted result of Vitality - Rogue at LEC Spring 2024

I have no faith in Rogue's ability to show the game. Not in this match, not at all.

Bottom line: Vitality wins.