Прогноз на матч: Invictus Gaming - Team Aster | Dota 2
Bali Major 2023 - Group StageWelcome to EGamersWorld.
The second round of the Group Stage of The Bali Major 2023 continues. Next up for Chinese Dota fans is the derby between Invictus Gaming and Team Aster, on which we have compiled a betting tip.
The game is undoubtedly an interesting one. Although they are not the top teams on the international stage in terms of results, the match draws The International heresy because of the principled nature of the game and the storilinear relationship between the teams.
China is feverish for the 2023 season and the Bali Major 2023 could be the cure for the residents from there. Aster and Invictus Gaming will be trying to revive the region's former glory.
The teams will surely try their best to climb to the top of the Bali Major 2023 and try to claw their way into The International. It will be very difficult to achieve, and to stand a chance, they need to score points in the group stage.
Here's a look at the clash between Aster and Invictus Gaming, who have been playing each other all season long.
Let's go.
Team Aster form
Let's open up the showdown with an analysis of Team Aster's form. In this match the team will play in the status of favorites of the meeting.
The bookmakers confirm the pre-match status. The odds on the Aster win are priced at around 2.2.
The figure is rather amorphous, just like Aster in the 2023 season. It is shaped by Aster's success on the international stage.
In the first round of DPC 2023, Team Aster "gave away" the regional lead, Ledgeiv on the PSG.LGD. Following a top-2 at DPC 2023: China Upper Division, Team Aster went to Peru, where they played an "average" game, with Monet and company finishing in the top-8.
In the second round of DPC 2023: China Upper Division Team Aster finished in the Top 4, which was already noticeably worse than last time. However, it was enough to qualify for the Berlin Major 2023. At the Berlin tournament, SumaiL, the club's current star, made his debut for Aster. Truth be told, the debut was not the most successful (Top 8), but as a test for the new mid-laner - fine.
Before that, Aster played at DreamLeague S19. In DreamLeague S19, Aster were in the top 9-10. Then, after some frustrating tiebreaks, they failed to make it out of the group.
After that was DPC 2023: China Tour 3. The home league ended in third place for Aster, which can hardly be called a successful result.
- Team Aster line-up: Monet, SumaiL, Xxs, BoBoKa, Siamese C.
However, showing at least some effectiveness in the international arena has not always been possible. A prime example is the recent DreamLeague Season 20, completely failed by Aster. The Chinese top club crashed out of the second group stage of the 1,000,000 tournament.
Aster will face Spirit before playing IG. In that match, we bet the game was roughly evenly matched, with a slight edge for the Dragons.
The most popular Aster heroes
Rubick appeared in spades most often - 6 matches, 50% wins. Keeper of The Light, Storm Spirit (5 games, 80% wins) were also picked.
There was Monkey King, Underlord, Terrorblade, Pugna (4 matches, 75% wins each).
Invictus Gaming form
We continue our match review with an analysis of Team Spirit's playing form. In this encounter, the team will play as an outfielder.
Bookmakers will agree. The odds of an IG victory in this match are estimated at around 4.
Such a figure leaves room for manoeuvre, but in principle indicates a significant underperformance of the favourites. And all because of IG's very negative experience on the international stage and successes only at the local level, in China.
In the first round of DPC 2023 Invictus Gaming finished in the top 6, almost forfeiting their place in the top division, but they were spared. Naturally, Major e was out of the question.
The second round of DPC 2023: China Upper Division was also out of the question, but somehow Invictus Gaming made it there. The team finished in the top-3 in their home league only to crash to the ground in a big hurry: Invictus Gaming finished in the top-18 at the Berlin Major 2023.
DPC's third season offers hope for an IG comeback. The team now travels to Bali with a top-2 DPC in their pocket.
- IG line-up: Emo, Dust, 项羽, Pyw, qyqx.
Before the Long Song games with Team Aster Invictus Gaming will play with Execration. I would be hesitant to call them the winner of that match, even despite the pre-match advantage of the once great Chinese club.
Invictus Gaming's most popular heroes
The most sought-after peak IG is Timbersaw. The character has appeared in team games 5 times and has a 60% win rate.
Other picks are Spirit Breaker (4 matches, 75% wins), Medusa (4 matches, 75% wins), Silencer (4 matches, 50% wins).
There were also Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Brewmaster (3 matches, 100% wins), Monkey King (3 matches, 66% wins).
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have previously played each other in the domestic DPC league. Out of 5 matches IG won 3, the remaining two went to Aster.
Match outcome
Regional battles within the DPC are one thing, but a high-stakes game on the international stage is a completely different story. And so Aster have a much better chance of winning.
I look forward to their implementation by SumaiL and company. Still, I want to believe that in DreamLeague Season 20 Aster frankly bogged down, but in Bali the second breath will open and Aster will show a game at least similar to the one in Berlin.
Bottom line: victory for Aster.
Invictus Gaming are the 25th team in the world rankings. The first round of the DPC goes very poorly for the organisation. They are only in 6th place. In the second round, however, the situation noticeably changes and they're already in the 3rd place, and that's why they pass the Berlin Major. Unfortunately, in that tournament, they occupied the last place. The 3rd round was even more successful than the previous ones, finishing in 2nd place.
Team Aster is the 21st team in the world ranking. They finish the first DPC round in the Chinese region in 2nd place, after losing the 1st to PSG.LGD. In the Lima Major, they didn't show much confidence and as a result ended up in the 7th-8th place. The team's Dreamleague Season 19 is not going well at all. They played frankly poorly and finished the tournament in 11th-12th place. In the second DPC round, the team managed to take only the 4th place and could hardly qualify for this Berlin Major. They took part in the tournament with substitution of Ori for Sumail. Just as they had been at the previous major, they were placed 7th-8th in the group. After that it was decided to lease Sumail to the team from Nygma. With such a squad they have secured the 3rd place in the 3rd round of DPC. With the same squad, they take 8th place in DreamLeague S20.
IG have won their last three full games against Aster. I reckon a +1.5 handicap from them is a good option.
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Prediction: Handicap IG +1.5!
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