Прогноз на матч: Nemiga Gaming - One Move | Dota 2
DPC 2023 Tour 3: EEU Division I (Upper)Welcome back to EGamersWorld.
We continue to follow what's happening in Eastern Europe and have now prepared a betting tip for the Nemiga Gaming - One Move match. You can never have too much Dota, can you?
We're three busy weeks behind us, but we still have the top-flight games on our screens. And not just any game, but a tiebreaker.
At stake is the opportunity to stay in the top DPC division for next year (if the DPC system is retained). Opening the fun roulette will be Nemiga Gaming and One Move.
Both teams have shown mediocre play over three weeks, but both retain the opportunity to remain among the top teams in the region. A win here will increase those opportunities, but it won't guarantee they will retain the slot.
Let's find out which of the "mediocre" teams will be stronger in this bo1 race and strengthen their position before the next matchup.
Nemiga Gaming Form
Let's open our match-by-match analysis with the Nemiga Gaming uniforms. In this encounter, the Belarusian club will play as favourites.
Bookmakers have decided to believe in the success of Nemiga. The chance of their victory is estimated at odds around 1.6.
Such a figure is a bit surprising. Prior to Long Sogpega in the third round, it was difficult to imagine Nemiga as favourites against One Move, but reality dictates the terms.
Nemiga's first season in the DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division was not a good one. They finished in penultimate place but with a score of 6-12, meaning they battled in almost every match.
The only other occasions on which they played in between DPCs were local events. Among them was the BB Universe: Episoe 1 - Comics Zone championship, where the team gave a very mediocre performance.
At the BB Universe: Episode 1 - Comics Zone, the Belarusians finished in the TOP-10-11, without reaching the group stage. No other achievements, so far.
- Composition of Nemiga Gaming: v1olent, Malr1ne, Vazya, Hellscream, so bad .
The team can only partially be called a permanent resident of the top division. But One Move are regulars in DPC 2023: EEU Division 1.
Nemiga Gaming's most popular heroes
Over the last month, Nemiga Gaming's most chosen hero was Disruptor (6 games. 100% wins), Pangolier (5 games, 80% wins). Monkey King, Terrorblade, Clockwerk, Snapfire, Rubick and Primal Beast were each played 4 times. MK, TB, Clockwerk and Snapfire each have 100% wins, Rubick has 75 and Primal Beast has won 2 matches.
Nemiga Gaming play a very standard Dota, but as you can see, it wasn't enough to get a solid Top 5 and past the tiebreaker.
One Move Form
Let's move on to a review of One Move's playing form. In this match, the team is playing in underdog status.
Bookmakers do not believe in One Move's full-fledged success. The chance of their victory is estimated at odds in the region of 2.2.
In principle, we can agree on that figure. That's what stagnation and stagnation in place leads to: the team atrophies so much that as a strong "average" with a great background, plays number two in a match against an outlier from the second division. And yet, before the Long Song of the tournament, it seemed that One Move could put up a fight against the top sides, let alone teams of Nemiga's level.
In the first round of the DPC One Move finished in the top 5. They were 2-5 up at the time, but to be fair they looked decent in a number of games.
In the second round of DPC 2023: EEU Division 1 the team improved slightly, closing the league 3-4. However, that still made it 5 ppl, so it didn't count.
There were also games at local events like Games of Future, where Keyd Stars won the grand final, and Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #1, where One Move completely failed: finished in the top 16.
- One Move line-up: Munkishi~, Ainkrad, AfterLife, Gilgir, pantomem.
I expected One Move to roughly repeat the history of the past rounds, but it turned out somehow too vague. Now here they are, at the risk of losing their first division slot. And it's very easy, given the bo1 tie-break format.
The most popular One Move heroes
The most favoured One Move hero from the previous season was Tiny (31 matches, 54% win rate). Next are Pangolier (19 games, 57% win rate), Mirana (19 games, 52% win rate), Rubick (19 games, 47% win rate).
Also appearing in spades at One Move were Tusk (17 matches, 52% wins), Timbersaw (16 matches, 56% wins), Ember Spirit (15 matches, 60% wins).
They play, like Nemiga, defaults and, like Nemig-e, haven't had enough of that to maintain their place without tiebreaks.
History of head-to-head encounters
Have played each other twice during the season. The first time in the first round of DPC 2023: EEU Division 1 and the second time directly in this championship - DPC 2023: EEU Division 1 Tour 3.
Bottom line
In this match I expect a Dota extravaganza in the worst sense of the word. Lots of mutual mistakes, torn play and an unprecedented number of faults on both sides.
If we talk about the winner, let it be Nemiga. One Move are frankly stuck in the top division and it's time to play in League Two. Maybe then they'll be motivated to develop.
The outcome: a win for Nemiga.