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There's never too much Dota, so catch the betting tip for the Team Secret vs OG match in the third round of the DPC. The clubs will open week 2 of the regular season, and their match has a lot of tournament significance.
It so happens that both teams are in the last positions in the standings. Both teams have yet to win a single game and the race to qualify for The International 2023 is on, so there's no time to lose.
Let's try to see which team will get their first victory in the third round of DPC Western Europe and get one step closer to the almost impossible, but realistic goal - getting to the IO Bali Major 2023, and then to The International.
OG Form
We begin the review of the OG - Secret match with analysis of the match form of the series favourite. In this encounter it is OG.
Bookmakers believe in the success of the club, and the chance of their victory is estimated at odds in the region of 1.8. It is worth noting that such a figure actually indicates parity, while it seemed that it should not be the case, given the realities.
OG's performance in the 2023 season is quite mediocre. The global Reshuffle at Long Corder of the Year and the overall level of team play of ESL One champions Stockholm 2022 are to blame.
In the first round of the DPC, the team played their way to the tiebreaks for the top four, but failed there. Having put Entity and Tundra ahead of themselves, OG missed out on The Lima Major 2023.
In the second cycle, they managed to attend a Major tournament, the ESL One Berlin Major 2023. It took a DPC 2023 tie-break to beat Ooredoo Thunders there, but it was worth it: OG finished their first Major season in the Top 6, which is not a bad result for today's OG.
- OG line-up: Yuragi, bzm, DM, Taiga, Chu .
For the third DPC season, OG approached the third season with a full squad with no substitutes that played at ESL One Berlin Major 2023 (MC vrlase DM and Kitrak vrlase Chu), but still had to resort to stand-ins. Somewhere in the first series of the season Taiga disappeared, and OG without him, but with Aramis, lost that match against Tundra.
Next, it gets better. Aramis sat down with not the most famous performer Merlin. OG won the card, but lost the Quest Esports match.
OG's most popular heroes
Clockwerk (3 matches, 100% wins), Pangolier (2 matches, 100% wins), Silencer (2 matches, 50% wins), Death Prophet (2 matches, 0 wins).
In general, it is unclear what and who OG will play in this match. And that's the problem.
After Berlin Major a bzm and company had chances of direct passage to The International 2023 in case of successful performance on DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division Tour 3, but with such approach to official matches it would be unlikely to issue a trip to Seattle, so also a slot in the top division would be saved.
Team Secret uniforms
We continue our review with an analysis of Team Secret's playing form. In this match, they're playing as underdogs, as if it could be any other way.
However, the situation here is shaky. The odds on a Secret win are priced at around 1.9, which hints at a close game between the clubs.
And why shouldn't it be close? OG are far from stable too and the only thing they can boast is a good performance in the Berlin Major 2023 and it's not clear what would happen with a full squad.
Secret are better in terms of roster stability. At the very least, Puppey does not change players from match to match.
Perhaps that consistency has helped him to get past the second division in the first line-up. It may also be that there wasn't any worthy competition, but it doesn't matter as the result is the result.
- Team Secret squad: Crystallis, Armel, BOOM, yamich, Puppey .
The international hodgepodge is no worse than the one of OG. Also Secret's performance is not worse, but there is, as they say, a little nuance.
Team Secret are 0-2 after the first week of the DPC. Somehow, the second division, from which Secret just escaped, is starting to look on the horizon, and therefore they need to pick up in this match as well.
Having failed against Liquid (0-2) and Gaiming Gladiators (already 1-2), it might work out with OG. In fairness, the latter are not the level of Liquid and Gladiators, and therefore have a chance of clinging to this match.
The most popular heroes of Team Secret
Among the most chosen heroes of Secret are Mirana, Tusk and Primal Beast. All have 6 matches and 83% of wins.
In addition Monkey King and Ember Spirit appeared in spades (5 games and 100% wins each). Death Prophet also played 5 matches, however she won 4 matches.
Also took Jakiro (3 matches, 100% wins), Enchantress (3 matches, 100% wins). Abaddon (2 matches, 66% wins), Broodmother (2 matches, 100% wins).
What you don't have to question is Team Secret's strategy and game plans. Puppey is good in this regard and in this match he will demonstrate his captaincy qualities and skills.
Secret - OG history of head-to-head encounters
The last time the teams played was in the first round of the DPC. OG got the clean win then, but a lot of time has passed since then.
Result of the match
Given the performance of the teams in the current DPC draw, I don't see how either side can win 2-0. I'm leaning towards a full-blown bo3 with a possible win for either side.
Bottom line: +2.5 total.
