Прогноз на матч: OG - Nigma Galaxy | Dota 2

We are slowly approaching the climax of the first day of the final week of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour II. The final encounter will be between Nigma Galaxy and OG.

The clash should be a very interesting one as it is pivotal for both sides. For one, it's actually the last chance to clinch a place in the first division, while for the other, it's an opportunity to finally make it to the majors.

Nigma Galaxy approach the encounter sharing the top 4 with Entity, Monaspa and Ooredoo Thunders. The team has 2 wins in 5 matches.

OG are sitting solely in last place in the standings. The team has 1 win in 5 games.

Let's try to find out how the clash will end and who will get the important points for themselves in DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour II.

Form OG

We begin the parsing of the match from the most "woeful" team of the season. OG are playing this match as favourites, as strange as that may sound.

I don't understand why the bookmakers give OG such great credit. The odds of the team winning are estimated at around 1.6, which also indicates a significant advantage for the team.

For me, such pre-match quotes are like a laughing stock. OG in the second round are disgusting, there's no other word for it.

OG line-up

The decision to swap team captain and coach was questionable at the start of the season, and now looks fatal. The team's level of play has dropped so low that OG have forgotten how to play.

OG players

• Yuragi
• bzm
• DM
• Taiga
• Chu

Looking at OG's performance in the new season, one can't help but wonder if they have ever played Dota before. We remember the triumph of the team at the Stockholm Major, but do not forget that at that time they played Ceb and thanks to him the team actually won.

After ATF's departure, the level sagged. Last season there was a failure to get into the top 4 and now it's a risk of leaving the first division.

The most lamentable thing about OG is the total degradation of all the players in the squad. Here and Yuragi can't assemble Kirasa on NP, and BMZ plays Exort Invoker with Witch Blade, and Chu and DM - another story altogether.

All in all, it's extremely bad. Can't figure it out without decifl.

OG performance.

At DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour I OG finished 5th. The team played the regular season at 4-3.

The team defeated Entity, Secret, Gaimin Gladiators and Into The Breach on their way to the top 4 and lost to Tundra, Nigma and Team Liquid. That's how they got to the re-match.

In the round-robin replay, OG played against Tundra and Entity. Both OG and Entity lost twice, which ultimately kept them out of the Lima Major 2023.

In the first match of the new round, OG's opponent was Tundra. The same Tundra that failed at Lima Major 2023 beat OG 2-0 in their first home league match, but truth be told, OG had a chance on both cards.

The next match ended identically for OG, with no ghostly hopes. Liquid needed 37 minutes in the first and 29 minutes in the second to shut down their arch-rivals. "Liquid switched off Yuragi from the first card, driving them into maximum tilt, and Enigma via Guardian Greaves from DM was out of place.

Next, OG were close to a total collapse and 0-3 on the scoreboard, but it carried through. Ooredoo poured on the first map in a way that a first tier team cannot afford, resulting in an upset defeat for OT and giving hope to OG.

The next opponent for OG was Gaimin Gladiators. The Gladiators, who had been on the decline since the Lima Major 2023, recovered their spirit and overcame OG without any problems.

The climax of OG's decline was the match against Monaspa. The once major champions and generally experienced players handed two cards to the newcomers in the division, losing in a landslide.

OG Heroes

The most picked character was Rubick (8 matches, 50% win rate).

Also took Lina (6 games, 83% wins), Treant Protector (6 games, 50% wins), Death Prophet (6 games, 33% wins), Tiny (5 games, 80% wins), Snapfire (5 games, 40% wins).

Nigma Galaxy uniforms

Let's move on to a review of Nigma Galaxy's playing form. "The 'eternal loser' of the first division is predicted to be an outsider.

Bookmakers out of inertia and habit do not believe in Nigma Galaxy's success. They put the odds on KuroKy's team to win at 2.3.

That would fit the underdog/favourites concept, but not in our case. Even Nigma look like a team against OG.

Nigma Galaxy line-up

They have not reinvented the wheel in the new season and have continued to play with the same roster, changing only their coach. Nice and understandable? Well, it wasn't.

Nigma Galaxy players

• SumaiL
• ATF
• MinD_ContRoL
• GH
• KuroKy

Here they are from left to right: cairry SumaiL, midliner ATF and offliner MC. Or not so: curry MC, offleiner ATF, midleader SumaiL.

Nigma are getting creative in the new season, and the interesting thing is that it's paying off. The team has already picked up two wins, albeit against the outfielders, but so Ooredoo Thunders have shut down Tundra and Gladiators, so it's quite telling to beat such teams.

Nigma Galaxy performance

Nigma Galaxy crashed in the first round of the DPC, but still escaped from the collapse. They finished the season 2-5, which was enough to secure their place in the top division.

In the course of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1, Nigma Galaxy lost to just about anyone, but managed to take two matches towards the end of the season. First, they beat their main rival for the top division, Team Secret, and then they kept OG out of the majors.

Even before the start of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1 Nigma Galaxy played at BB Xmas Show, where they finished in the top 8, with a direct inevitability to the playoffs.

In the first match of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 2 Nigma Galaxy faced Entity. In the opening match, the Kuro team managed to squeeze a card, but not much else.

In the next game, Nigma faced the champions of the last The International, Tundra Esports. The latter won with a score of 0-2.

The losing streak continued with a match against Team Liquid. Surprisingly Nigma were able to pick up a card, but then things went according to plan: Liquid won the next two cards and the series.

The first win came in a match against Monaspa. SumaiL on the cairrie and ATF on the centre played, but to be fair, the opponent was not of the level to draw the final conclusions.

The winstreak continued in the match against Ooredoo Thunders. On the first map, by the way, Nigma won with one standing barrack, after which they closed out the series on a moral high.

Nigma Galaxy Heroes.

Most often appeared in spades were Io (6 matches, 66% wins), Death Prophet (5 matches, 60% wins), Chen (5 matches, 60% wins), Dawnbreaker (4 matches, 75% wins), Earth Spirit (4 matches, 75% wins).

Take Timbersaw (3 matches, 33% wins), Disruptor (3 matches, 33% wins), Ember Spirit (2 matches, 50% wins).

History of head-to-head encounters

Last season the teams played in the regular season. That time it was a win for Nigma.

Result of the match

In this match I do not believe in the success of OG. It seems to be time to change the lineup or this one is stillborn, and another swap with the coach won't help them.

Nigma already beat the more playable OG in the last round, and now there is only a shadow of that team left. KuroKy and company will be clinging to the match, with a possible Top 4 and the coveted major, where Nigma haven't been for a very long time, on the line.

Bottom line: victory for Nigma Galaxy.