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Ahead of the conclusion of the group stage, we have prepared a betting tip for the OG - Shopify Rebellion match. The matchup, it should be noted, is quite heresy.
Two big tags with big ambitions are playing. In addition, the match has quite a specific tournament value.
Both teams have been performing average so far and look, frankly, so-so. This match is their last chance to advance to the next stage of the prestigious tournament.
Both teams are playing with stand-ins, considered to be on a level playing field. And then there's Miracle at the top tournament - The International.
Let's see whether one of the teams will earn an undoubtedly important and needed victory, thereby significantly increasing their chances of advancement to the next stage, or whether an unsatisfactory draw awaits us.
Let's begin.
Shopify Rebellion form
Let's open the analysis of the confrontation with the form of Shopify Rebellion. In this match, the team will play in the status of favorites, but very shaky.
The bookmakers are marking Shopify Rebellion, but they are doing it carefully. The chance of Shopify Rebellion winning is estimated at odds in the region of 3.3.
In essence, there is complete parity, but Shopify Rebellion has a perceived advantage. It is caused by the overall performance of the club during the season.
The team has twice finished in the top 2 of the DPC domestic league, Ledge and TSM. Naturally, that result can hardly be called an achievement, since the competition in the North American region is rather poor. However, in the case of Shopify Rebellion, it's much more decided by playing on the international stage, where the results are much better.
At The Lima Major 2023, Shopify Rebellion made it to the top 4. Making it into the top three was prevented, unexpectedly, by Talon Esports.
In addition to the Lima Major 2023, the team was at the DreamLeague Season 19 and played even better than the Peruvian major. Cooler, because they played with a substitution (in the Abed performed inexperienced Mikey) and reached the top 3 of the tournament for 1,000,000 dollars.
Then there was The Berlin Major 2023 with a dismal top-12 and then the third round of DPC 2023: NA Division 1. The latter went better, with SR taking the top spot, guaranteeing themselves passage to The Bali Major 2023, and also actually qualifying for The International 2023.
- Shopify Rebellion: Arteezy, Miracle, SaberLight, Cr1t, Fly.
This DreamLeague season, the team has resorted to another replacement. Once again Abed was left without a visa, but this time he is replaced by Miracle. It was more fun with Mikey, though.
Shopify Rebellion is now 0-5-1 in the standings and 6th place in the standings. Only if they win can Shopify Rebellion qualify for the top 4.
Shopify Rebellion's most popular heroes
Shopify Rebellion most often played Crystal Maiden (8 matches, 62% wins), Storm Spirit (7 matches, 57% wins), Doom (7 matches, 57% wins).
Still had Rubick (5 matches, 80% win rate), Terrorblade (4 matches, 75% win rate), Underlord (4 matches, 75% win rate).
OG Form
OG will be up against Shopify Rebellion in this match. Playing them in underdog status by a paltry margin.
The bookmakers confirm OG's position. The odds on their victory are estimated at around 3.6.
Such a figure for the most chaotic team in the world is quite a compliment. Especially considering the struggles OG have faced all year long.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 OG could not guarantee a place in the top 4 and consequently missed out on The Lima Major 2023. Things seemed to pick up during the second round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1. OG then made a strong comeback and moved into the Top 4 after tiebreaks.
In the Berlin Major the team played with two stand-ins and finished in top 6, but it seems that these stand-ins were the secret of their success. After returning to regular season matches with a full roster, OG looked critically poor, but at the last minute they improved.
At DPC 2023: WEU Tour 3, OG Long Congregated for the rest of the season, but managed to keep their place in the top division by finishing in the top 5 in the third round of the professional season. By the way, last year's DreamLeague S19 OG also finished in 5th place, which is an indicator that they are unlikely to repeat in the new season.
- OG: Yuragi, bzm, DM, Ceb, Taiga.
After a year-long extravaganza, the new OG player is Ceb. At one time with him in the OG squad stupeople were the Major champions, but now it is a long way away.
The OG are 1-3-2 in the standings before Long Connerg of the last round. As with Shopify Rebellion, a win in their case could guarantee entry to the next round, while a defeat, and even a draw, would essentially put an end to their continued participation in DreamLeague S20.
Most popular OG characters
Among favourite OG characters: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).
Among the most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 games, 100% wins), Underlord (4 games, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 games, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 games, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 games, 100% wins).
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams played each other in the group stage of The Berlin Major 2023. The match ended in a draw then.
Result of the match
In this match I expect an approximately equal game, which is hinted at by the odds, but as for the winner I see OG. I believe in the Ceb factor and his ability to bring the team to their senses.
Bottom line: OG win.
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