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The final event in the DPC 2023 regular season continues. Bali Major 2023 and beyond is heating up and today we meet the lower net play-offs matches.
Team Spirit and PSG.LGD will open up the play-offs. Expect a very good matchup.
The 2023 season has seen very few games between China and Eastern Europe. But they are the top 2 and 3 regions in terms of power, which obviously adds to the excitement for the PSG.LGD - Team Spirit match.
Both teams clearly need a win, throughout the season they have shown very mediocre results on the international stage, and this despite very successful games on the home stage.
We will try to analyze which team will be stronger in this match, continue to play in The Bali Major 2023 and get a chance to move up the grid of players further.
Let's go.
PSG.LGD form.
We begin our analysis of the match with an analysis of the form of PSG.LGD. The Chinese are the favourites to win this match.
The bookmakers confirm the pre-match position. They put the odds on the top Chinese club to win at around 1.5.
That number seems quite unnatural, considering the performance of PSG.LGD this year. However, xiao8's side have improved quite a bit since DPC 2023: China Tour 3 and it shows.
PSG.LGD have shown themselves to be in good stead exclusively in their home DPC 2023: China Upper Division. Their entire portfolio in 2023 consists of reaching the top 3 of the regional league: top 1 twice (DPC 2023: Tour 1 and DPC 2023: Tour 3) and top 2 at DPC 2023: Tour 2.
On the international stage, PSG.LGD failed The Lima Major 2023, where they crashed out in the first round of play-offs. The second Major season was no better than the first, PSG.LGD again flew out in the first round of play-offs taking the top-12 in the tournament. In addition, the team missed out on DreamLeague S19.
- PSG.LGD: shiro, NothingToSay, niu, planet, y`.
PSG.LGD reached their peak at the DL S20 where they reached the DreamLeague Season 20 play-offs, their highest score of the year. In the end, the Chinese finished in the top 3 at the prestigious championship.
Team Spirit made the group stage of The Bali Major 2023 in 4th place in Group B. The xiao8 side finished 3-4-1 and made it through to the top flight of the play-offs. There, PSG.LGD met Team Liquid and were able to give battle to one of the strongest teams in the world, but lost 1-2.
Most popular heroes of PSG.LGD
The most frequent guest of PSG.LGD picks in DreamLeague S20 is Techies (5 matches, 60% wins). Next are Void Spirit and Magnus with 4 matches and 75% wins.
Opponents should watch out for Phantom Lancer (3 matches, 100% wins). Other picks are Skywrath Mage (3 matches, 66% wins), and Ember Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins).
Team Spirit form
We continue with the analysis of Team Spirit's form. In this match, the Dragons play number two.
The bookmakers aren't willing to bet more on Spirit than they are on the Chinese. The odds on Team Spirit winning this match are around 2.3.
The gap isn't huge, but it's still noticeable. If in the course of the year the teams looked practically equal, then on the Bali Major 2023 PSG.LGD was more lively.
In the first round of DPC 2023: EEU Division 1 Spirit took 2nd place. The dragons were then prevented from winning by BB Team, who finished the tournament on the top line with a score of 7-0. After a home league appearance, Team Spirit attended The Lima Major 2023 where they finished in the top 8.
Later, the Spirit played the second round of their home league and again finished in the top-2. Going to The Berlin Major 2023 expected to improve the result of the previous Major, however, in the end, things only got worse: already in the top-12.
Despite "sluggish" international play, the Spirit still steadily make it through the Major groups and look like the main contender to win every game at home. That was the case in the third season of DPC 2023.
Spirit finished the final Eastern European cycle in first place. It took 3 tries to get the title in Eastern Europe.
- The composition of Team Spirit: Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, Mira, Miposhka .
The last tournament before DreamLeague Season 20 was DreamLeague S20 for the Dragons. There, the Eastern Europeans finished in the Top 5, which is not a bad result, considering the above-mentioned results for the year.
The Bali Major 2023 began well for Team Spirit, but later fell apart and as a result, the Spirit found themselves in the lower reaches of the play-offs. They finished the group stage of the tournament 2-5-1 and 9-7 on map.
Team Spirit's most popular heroes
Crystal Maiden tops the list of Team Spirit's most-chosen characters. The character has appeared in spades six times and has an 83% win rate.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are also favored, having been spiked 5 times each with an 80% win rate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% wins.
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams previously played in Lima and on DreamLeague Season 20. Full parity: a draw and a win each.
Match outcome
Despite PSG.LGD's advantage before the match, I don't see how they will close out Spirit without problems. If they win, it will only be 2-1. That is, I propose to bet the total of +2.5.
Bottom line: total +2.5.